Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
457 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
457 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET..Late Evening Into Early Sunday.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Late Evening Into Early Sunday.
ONSET...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This evening.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Evening Into Early Sunday.
DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to redevelop late this evening across
north-central Oklahoma. These storms will grow in strength and
coverage across northeast Oklahoma and eventually spread east and
south into the remainder of Oklahoma and western Arkansas after
midnight. Instability and wind shear will be sufficient for some
of this activity to reach severe limits. Damaging wind gusts to 65
mph and quarter size hail will be the main threats, however, a
tornado are two will also be possible, especially across northeast
Oklahoma. In addition, torrential downpours with this activity
will combine with saturated soils to produce rapid runoff and
flash flooding potential across portions of northeast Oklahoma
late this evening and overnight. Localized heavy rains will spread
across the remainder of Oklahoma and portions of western Arkansas
through Sunday morning as the storm complex moves south. Although
more limited, some areas are likely to experience further
flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast into early next week,
with a limited severe weather potential. Locally heavy rainfall
will also remain possible with the storms. An uptick in
thunderstorm chances may occur late Wednesday and Wednesday night
as a weak cold front approaches from the north and washes out
somewhere in our vicinity by Thursday.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
334 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-152045-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
334 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through tonight
along a residual boundary. A few thunderstorms could be strong to
severe with strong gusty winds being the primary hazard. Some
locally heavy rain and isolated flash flooding also are possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms on Sunday with a few that
could be strong to severe over portions of western Arkansas. The
primary hazard will again be strong gusty winds with some locally
heavy rain and localized flash flooding also possible. Chances for
showers and thunderstorms continue on Monday, becoming isolated on
Tuesday. Another chance for showers and thunderstorms on Thursday
with the potential for a few strong to severe thunderstorms. The
hazards at this time appear to be damaging winds and large hail.
Locally heavy rain and localized flooding are also possible on
Thursday.
Hot and humid conditions are expected to return across Arkansas
late next week into the weekend with heat indices over 100 degrees
possible.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
$$
