Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
143 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-181845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
143 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
DISCUSSION...
Gusty southerly winds up to 30 to 40 mph (locally up to 45 mph)
will occur at times through this afternoon and evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Thunderstorm chances increase Friday evening into the weekend.
The first round of thunderstorms occurs Friday night into Saturday
morning with the potential of large hail to the size of quarters
and damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph. Flash flooding is also
possible.
Additional rounds of rainfall will occur Saturday afternoon
through Sunday afternoon however any severe threat remains
uncertain at this time. Flooding will remain possible through the
weekend and a Flood Watch is in effect.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Burchfield
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
507 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
507 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
...SEVERE POTENTIAL FRIDAY EVENING NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma; Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Osage and Pawnee Counties.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Gusty southerly winds will continue into the evening hours across
the region before lessening somewhat after sunset. Limited fire
weather concerns will continue primarily across Osage and Pawnee
Counties where fine fuels are still somewhat dry and min RH values
are the lowest. INcreased moisture and green up from recent rain
has tampered the fire weather concerns elsewhere.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An unsettled weather pattern is expected to set up over the next
few days. A frontal boundary will drop down into the region
Friday and will provide a focus for an initial round of strong to
severe storms and locally heavy rainfall Friday night over
northeast Oklahoma. Additional rounds of strong to severe storms
and heavy rainfall are expected thru Saturday across eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as the frontal boundary moves
slowly south and east. An upper disturbance will move into the
southern Plains Saturday night into Sunday, bringing an additional
round of strong to severe storms and heavy rainfall. Both flash
flooding and main-stem river flooding is likely to become an
issue over the weekend.
After a quiet start to the next work week, thunderstorm chances
will increase toward the middle of the week as an upper
disturbance moves into the Plains.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
342 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-181000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
342 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025 /442 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Moderate to major flooding will continue on many area rivers
today, but water levels are beginning to fall. Refer to the river
flood statements for more details.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Strong south winds will gust 25-35 mph throughout the region
Friday. Some gusts to 40 mph or higher cannot be ruled out over
southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.
Moderate to major flooding will continue on many area rivers, but
water levels will continue to fall through the weekend and into
next week. Refer to the flood warnings and statements for more
details.
A chance for thunderstorms returns Friday night through the
weekend. Heavy rainfall and strong to severe storms are both
possible. The severe threat will be focused in areas from
Perryville Missouri to Fairfield Illinois late Friday night. The
best chance of severe storms will be Sunday afternoon and evening
when a heightened concern for severe thunderstorms may develop.
The greatest heavy rainfall and flooding threat will be focused
over far northwest portions of the Quad State.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may needed at any point from Friday night
through Sunday night.
$$
DRS
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
223 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-181930-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
223 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Very high to extreme grass fire danger is forecast for today, due
to very low relative humidity, strong south to southwest winds, and
well above average temperatures. The highest fire danger will be
generally west of I-135, where a Red Flag Warning remains in effect.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Off-and-on showers and thunderstorms are expected from late Friday
afternoon through Sunday across the region. The greatest chances
will be over southeast Kansas. While widespread severe storms are
not expected, a few of the storms Friday evening may produce dime to
quarter size hail along with 50 to 60 mph winds. In addition, heavy
rain and localized flooding is possible. A Flood Watch is in effect
from 7 PM Friday until 7 PM Sunday for much of southeast Kansas.
Additional thunderstorm chances arrive back into the forecast next
Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
215 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-181915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
215 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Very high fire danger may still setup late this afternoon across
portions of central into north central Kansas due to gusty south to
southwest winds, warm temperatures, and very low humidity.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
A few strong to severe thunderstorms are again possible across far
east-central KS Friday late evening into early Saturday morning.
Large hail will again be the main hazard.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters will not be needed today or tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
437 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-180945-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
437 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Storms ongoing this morning will drift east across the area, with
potential for a few to produce small to near severe hail.
Additional storm potential this afternoon and evening over far
northern Missouri, but is conditional on storms in Nebraska forming
far enough south.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Multiple opportunities for storms move through the area. Best
chances for additional strong to severe storms Thursday evening
(northern Missouri) and Friday (mainly S and E of KC Metro).
Potential flooding risk by Friday night and into the weekend with
the potential for multiple rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall.
More detailed information can be accessed at...
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo
$$
