Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
247 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>017-022-032>035-043>047-058-059-171900-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-
Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
247 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for severe thunderstorms
Thursday afternoon and evening.
There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall from
thunderstorms Thursday through the upcoming weekend...mainly due to
slow moving afternoon and evening thunderstorms.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
247 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
VAZ018>020-023-024-WVZ042>044-507-508-171900-
Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
247 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for severe thunderstorms
this afternoon and evening. Primary threat is damaging wind gusts.
There is also the potential for excessive rainfall which may lead to
flooding if storms linger over a location for more than an hour.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for severe thunderstorms
Thursday afternoon and evening.
There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall
from thunderstorms Thursday through the upcoming weekend...mainly
due to slow moving afternoon and evening thunderstorms.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
533 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508-
526-WVZ050>053-055-172145-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta-
Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-
Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-Hampshire-
Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-
533 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West
Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western
Maryland.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
A Flood Watch for potential flash flooding is in effect until
midnight tonight excluding Orange County.
A few severe storms with damaging wind gusts and large hail are
possible through this evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Heat index values around 100-105 are possible Thursday afternoon.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Please relay any flood or severe thunderstorm reports to the
National Weather Service.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
533 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
MDZ501-502-509-510-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-172145-
Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Highland-Eastern Highland-
Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-
Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton-
533 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front
counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland
County Virginia.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
A Flood Watch for potential flash flooding is in effect until
midnight tonight.
A few severe storms with damaging wind gusts and large hail are
possible this evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Please relay any flood or severe thunderstorm reports to the
National Weather Service.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
246 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-171215-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
246 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.
.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.
Thunderstorms are expected at times this afternoon and tonight. Some
thunderstorms could produce locally heavy rainfall and strong to
locally damaging wind gusts.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Thunderstorms are expected at times from Thursday through Tuesday,
especially during afternoon and evening hours. Some storms could
produce locally heavy rainfall.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
GINNICK/GEERTSON
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
214 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-065>069-079-080-087-088-092-
509>511-513-171815-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-
Cumberland-Goochland-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-
Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Greensville-Sussex-Southampton-Western Louisa-
Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
214 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will bring the
potential for heavy rain and localized flooding today.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Heat indices are forecast to reach 100 to 105 Thursday and Friday.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms have the potential to
produce heavy rain Friday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
142 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-171745-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
142 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 /1242 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Heat index values ranging from the upper 90s to the lower 100s
across much of the Tennessee valley this afternoon and early
evening.
Isolated to scattered storms are expected through this evening
with the greatest coverage along and north of interstate 40.
Strong and gusty winds up 50 mph and localized flash flooding
possible with the strongest storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Heat index values will continue reach into the upper 90s to
lower 100s most days across many Valley locations through early
next week. An increase in heat indices to 105 degrees is possible
for the latter half of next week.
Daily chances for storms will continue with a few storms capable
of producing strong winds and localized flooding.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not needed at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
529 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-170930-
Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-
Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-
Wayne-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
529 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
The chance of widespread hazardous weather is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Hot and humid conditions will lead to unusually high heat index
values of 102 to 107 degrees Thursday through the weekend. Heat
advisories may be needed for some locations.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
503 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ008>014-019-101>109-170915-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Central Greenville-Southern Greenville-
Northern Spartanburg-Southern Spartanburg-
503 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, Piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening. The main threat will be localized instances of flash
flooding due to excessive rainfall, especially in urban areas as well
as poor drainage and low-lying areas. A strong to severe thunderstorm
can`t be ruled out.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
None.
$$
