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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
352 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-031000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
352 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025 /452 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A major outbreak of severe storms with strong, long track
tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds is expected across
the Quad State this afternoon and evening, and possibly into the
overnight hours. Storms will move to the northeast at 60-70 mph.

The storms will eventually form into a line tonight, mainly over
west Kentucky. The line may become stationary resulting in heavy
rainfall and possibly some flooding problems. A Flood Watch begins
at 1 PM for the entire region.

A Wind Advisory is in effect for the entire region until midnight.
South winds may gust 40 to 55 mph at times ahead of the storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall
are expected Thursday through Saturday night. A Flood Watch is in
effect for this entire period. Significant flash flooding and
rapid rises on area rivers are likely. River flooding is already
forecast in some locations. The worst flash flooding threat will
be Friday night through Saturday night.

In addition, to the heavy rainfall and flooding concerns, severe
storms will be possible over much of the region Thursday afternoon
and night, and again Friday night into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should be prepared for activation this afternoon through
tonight.

$$

DRS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
433 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-031200-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
433 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A significant severe weather event will unfold this afternoon into
the early evening. Damaging wind gusts in excess of 70mph, hail
larger than quarters, and tornadoes will be possible. The latest SPC
outlook suggests a 10% or greater chance for EF-2 or stronger
tornadoes along and southeast of a Champaign to Taylorville line.

In addition to the storms, southerly winds will gust 45-55mph today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms will produce potentially
5-8 inches of rain along and south of the I-70 corridor from
this afternoon through Saturday night. As a result, many area creeks
and streams will experience significant rises and may spill out of
their banks.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed today...particularly between
2pm and 8pm.

$$

Barnes

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
419 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-030930-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
419 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are likely today. The highest threat will be
across parts of eastern Missouri and southwest/south central
Illinois. All hazards are possible with these storms including large
hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Periods of heavy rain and thunderstorms are expected Thursday
through Saturday. The heaviest rainfall accumulations are expected
across parts of southeast Missouri into southwest Illinois. This
heavy rain may cause moderate to major river flooding and significant
flash flooding in and near the flood watch area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed today.

$$

Carney

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
345 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-022200-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
345 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Numerous strong to severe thunderstorms will be likely
today. Parts of northeastern Arkansas and east-central Arkansas
are within a High Risk for severe weather (level 5 out of 5).
However, the majority of the state is in either an Enhanced Risk
(level 3 out of 5), Moderate Risk (level 4 out of 5), or as
mentioned above a High Risk (level 5 out of 5).

All severe weather hazards will be possible across the state today
including: large hail (baseball size to potentially larger),
damaging wind gusts (in excess of 80+ mph), and tornadoes (a few
which may be long-track and violent... especially across
northeastern and east-central Arkansas).

Flash flooding is also a major concern as these thunderstorms
will be efficient rain producers and may proceed to lead to an
overwhelming amount of rainfall falling in a short period of time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

The threat for severe weather will decrease slightly for
Thursday...but will still see some threat for large
hail...damaging winds...and an isolated tornado. Thursday`s most
concerning hazard at the time looks to be a decent confidence in
large hail across portions of central and southwestern Arkansas.

A front will become stalled over some portion of Arkansas by late
today...remaining over the state into the weekend. Several rounds
of showers and thunderstorms are possible...resulting in several
inches of rainfall. The threat for flash and/or river flooding
will increase significantly by late this week. A large portion of
the state is forecast to experience total rainfall amounts from
today through Sunday morning of 4 to 8 inches statewide, with
values of 10+ inches possible across northeastern Arkansas.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will be needed today across the state,
especially across the eastern 2/3rds of the state which
encompasses the Moderate and High Risk contours via the Storm
Prediction Center.

Spotters should be prepared to possibly encounter all hazards:
large hail of baseball size or larger, damaging wind gusts of 60
mph to 80+ mph, a tornadoes (a few which could be violent and
long-track). Additionally, spotters should be prepared to
encounter flash flooding and understand as this threat does extend
into the evening hours the dangers associated with spotting at
night.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

74

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
409 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-030815-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
409 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025 /309 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT  /7 AM CDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 1 AM EDT  /MIDNIGHT CDT/ THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Indiana
and central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong non-thunderstorm winds are expected today, with gusts of 40
to 50 mph expected.

Severe storms are expected this evening through most of the overnight.
Damaging winds, tornadoes, and hail are expected. Strong tornadoes
are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Additional showers and strong storms are expected to continue from Thursday
into the weekend. There is considerable concern for a high-impact,
major rainfall and flooding event across the lower Ohio and Tennessee
Valleys from Wednesday night through the weekend. Widespread minor
to moderate river flooding is expected, and major river flooding is
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this evening and tonight for
severe storms and again through the weekend for flash flooding
reports.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

$$

SRW/CSG

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
405 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-030815-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
405 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be around into mid
afternoon, then numerous thunderstorms and heavy rain will develop
late afternoon into tonight. Some storms may be severe. All severe
hazards are possible, including damaging winds, large hail and
tornadoes. The heavy rain may result in flash flooding.

Outside of thunderstorms, windy conditions are expected, with gusts
of 45 to 50 mph possible into this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Additional thunderstorms are possible at times Thursday into
Saturday. Some severe storms cannot be ruled out through Friday,
especially south of Interstate 70. Present indications are that
damaging winds would be the primary severe threat.

More rounds of heavy rain Thursday through Saturday night will lead
to additional flooding or prolonging existing flooding. Significant
river flooding is expected to develop late this week and into the
weekend.

Lightning is a threat from any storm.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is likely on later today into tonight.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
838 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030145-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
838 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Enhanced tornado risk.
  Enhanced hail risk.
  Enhanced thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk
  Elevated non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Southeasterly wind gusts will be around 30 to 40 mph tonight with
infrequent gusts up to 45 mph. There is the potential for
isolated strong to severe thunderstorms to impact areas west of
I-49 between 9 PM and 4 AM tonight. If these occurred, they would
mainly pose a large hail risk up to tennis balls.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wind gusts up to 30 to 45 mph will continue into Wednesday
morning.

Additionally, a broken line of storms is expected to move through
from west to east starting around 5 to 7 AM Wednesday, west of
Highway 65. Any storm would be capable of producing hail up to
ping pongs, damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, and perhaps a
tornado or two. As these storms progress eastward past Highway
63 Wednesday afternoon, further intensification is possible with
maximum hazards of hail up to tennis ball size, damaging wind
gusts up to 70 mph, and a few tornadoes, some potentially strong.

Confidence continues to increase in heavy rainfall and flooding
late this week into the weekend. Heavy rainfall amounts of at
least 3 to 5 inches, with higher amounts of 6 to 10 inches
possible. This could result in significant flooding and flash
flooding. The greatest concern for heavy rainfall occurs Friday
afternoon through Saturday evening. A Flood Watch is in effect.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed late tonight for southeast
Kansas and western Missouri.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Soria

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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