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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
829 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-070230-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-Page-
Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-Stanton-
Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas-
Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-
Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
829 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, east central Nebraska, northeast Nebraska and southeast
Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a level 1 (Marginal) risk for severe thunderstorms late
Thursday night into early Friday morning across the region. The main
threat with any severe thunderstorms would be large hail after
midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Another round of severe weather is possible Friday afternoon and
evening. There is a level 2 (Slight) risk of severe thunderstorms
across much of southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa, and a level 3
(Enhanced) risk clipping far southeast Nebraska near Falls City. All
hazards will be possible with these storms including large hail,
damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes.

Late Friday night into early Saturday northeast Nebraska could see a
dusting up to a half-inch of snow (40-60% chance)

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed at times Friday afternoon.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Hastings NE
854 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
070300-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
854 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Overnight.

Through sunrise Friday morning, mainly isolated/spotty
thunderstorm activity is possible almost anywhere in our forecast
area, but most favoring counties east of Highway 281 in both
Nebraska and Kansas, and also counties along and north of
Interstate 80 in Nebraska. Most storms that develop should be
weak and produce only small hail at most. However, a few storms
could be strong to marginally-severe, capable of producing hail
up to around the size of quarters.

Also through sunrise Friday morning, areas of at least light fog
will develop into our forecast area from south-to-north. Pockets
of dense fog could also develop, reducing visibility to at least
1/2 to 1/4 mile. However, truly dense fog is not expected to last
more than 2 to 4 hours at any given location.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

- Friday morning fog potential:
Between sunrise and around 9 AM Friday, areas of fog, some
possibly dense and reducing visibility to as low as 1/2 to 1/4
mile, could exist within mainly northwest portions of our forecast
area...mainly northwest of a line from Elwood, to Kearney, to
Fullerton. Any dense fog should dissipate by around 9 AM as a cold
front with breezy north winds moves in.

- Friday thunderstorm potential and possible severe storms:
After sunrise Friday morning, a few thunderstorms will remain
possible, primarily within Nebraska counties along and north of
Interstate 80. While spotty small hail cannot be ruled out, severe
storms are not currently anticipated.

After what should mostly be a lull in thunderstorm activity from
mid-morning through mid-afternoon, another round of thunderstorms,
some possibly severe, could develop mainly within the eastern half
of our forecast area (counties mainly along and east of Highway
281) between 3 and 8 PM. If any severe storms develop within our
forecast area, the main threats will be hail up to around ping
pong ball size, and/or wind gusts up to around 60 MPH. However, a
potentially greater threat for a few severe storms could unfold in
our far southeastern forecast area...primarily southeast of a line
from York to Superior Nebraska, to Osborne Kansas. Should any
storms develop into this part of our area, they could produce larger
hail up to around golf ball size, and perhaps even a low chance
for a tornado. Any potential severe thunderstorm threat should
vacate our far eastern forecast area by around 8 PM.

- Friday evening-overnight snow potential:
Mainly between 6 PM Friday and 3 AM Saturday, rain could briefly
turn to sleet and then snow primarily within the northwest half of
our forecast area (mainly northwest of a line from Beaver City,
to Grand Island, to Osceola). Although any snow accumulation
currently appears to be minimal, only around one-half inch, the
combination of falling snow and gusty northwest winds could reduce
visibility and cause some slick spots.

- Near-critical fire weather conditions Sunday through Wednesday:
Each afternoon between Sunday and Wednesday, at least portions of
our forecast area are expected to see at least near-critical fire
conditions, wherever there is a combination of wind gusting at
least 20 MPH, and relative humidity falling to 25 percent or less.
At this time, Sunday appears to feature the most widespread
coverage of near-critical conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any thunderstorm-related severe
weather that might occur through Friday evening.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Pfannkuch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
411 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-062215-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
411 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026 /311 PM MST Thu Mar 5 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms will be possible across portions of central and north
central Nebraska this evening. Some storms could be strong to severe
with hail as the primary concern.

Patchy dense fog will also be possible tonight across southwest
Nebraska, the Sandhills, into north central Nebraska. Visibility may
drop below one mile at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Accumulating snowfall is possible across portions of northwestern
Nebraska early Friday morning through Saturday morning, mainly
across northwestern Nebraska and the Sandhills. Accumulations up to
3 inches, with locally higher amounts, could be possible.
Additionally, a light glaze of ice from freezing rain and sleet
could be possible before rain fully switches to snow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
410 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

IAZ003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-SDZ071-062215-
Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-Buena Vista-Woodbury-
Ida-Dixon-Dakota-Union-
410 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, northeast Nebraska and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorm will develop after 10pm this evening and
continue into Friday. While a very low chance, a storm or two may
become stronger with the potential for dime to quarter sized hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers continue Friday morning with the potential for redevelopment
of thunderstorms by mid-late Friday, mostly along and south of
Highway 20. 50 mph winds and quarter size hail may be possible.

As colder air arrives Friday night, rain may transition to sleet or
snow into Saturday morning. Any wintry accumulation totals are
expected to remain light.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
410 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

SDZ038-039-050-052>054-057>060-063>066-068>070-062215-
Beadle-Kingsbury-Gregory-Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Brule-Aurora-Davison-
Hanson-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-Clay-
410 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central South Dakota, east
central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and southeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers with an isolated rumble of thunder may be possible after
midnight. Severe storms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Rain will begin to transition to sleet, freezing rain, and then snow
as colder arrives through the day on Friday. A light glaze of ice and
up to 1 to 2 inches of snow may be possible by Friday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
320 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

IAZ004>007-015>017-023-024-033-034-062130-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Sac-Calhoun-
320 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Thunderstorms will spread across Iowa late tonight, mainly after
midnight. A few of the storms could produce large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms are likely on Friday, with the potential for severe
weather mainly from late Friday afternoon into early Friday night.
Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible. Following
thunderstorms, rain will transition to a wintry mix Friday night
with the possibility for accumulating freezing rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports may be needed Thursday night and again on Friday.

$$

De Bruin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
320 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

IAZ025>028-035>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-062130-
Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-
Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-
Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-
Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
320 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Thunderstorms will spread across Iowa late tonight, mainly after
midnight. A few of the storms could produce large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms are likely on Friday, with the potential for severe
weather mainly from late Friday afternoon into early Friday night.
Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible, along with a
few tornadoes mainly in southern Iowa.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports may be needed Thursday night and again on Friday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1259 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-061900-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
1259 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Strong to severe storms are possible Thursday night, mainly after
midnight into early Friday morning. Hail up to one inch in diameter
is the main hazard with an isolated damaging wind threat near central
KS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a greater risk for severe storms Friday afternoon into the
evening. These storms could produce damaging wind gusts, large hail,
and potentially a few tornadoes.


&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CST Thu Mar 05 2026

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-061105-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CST Thu Mar 05 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of dense fog slowly dissipate through the morning hours.

- Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected
  starting late Thursday night through Friday night.

- Strong to isolated severe storms are possible Thursday night
  mainly across far NW MO.

- Higher chances for strong to severe storms is expected
  starting Friday late afternoon and evening into the overnight.
  All severe hazards are possible including damaging winds,
  large hail, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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