Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
226 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
151030-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
226 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms can be expected through this
evening. A few storms may be severe over mainly central and
southern Minnesota, with the primary hazards being large hail and
damaging winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Heavy rain is the primary threat from multiple rounds of showers
and thunderstorms along a stalled boundary through early next
week. A few storms could also occasionally become severe.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN spotter activation is not expected to be needed through
tonight.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
402 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
LSZ121-140>148-150-152115-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland-
402 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior
and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight
Gusty winds in the Twin Ports may lead to dangerous conditions for
small craft into this evening. Thunderstorm chances return this
afternoon and tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Thunderstorms remain possible through Sunday. A few storms may be
strong to severe. Southeasterly wind gusts of 20 to 25kts are
possible Friday morning from Grand Marais to Grand Portage,
leading to hazardous conditions for small crafts.
Strong northeast winds 20-30 knots with waves of 3 to 6 feet are
expected on Sunday, with a 30 to 40 percent chance for gales.
$$
KML
More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
402 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-152115-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
402 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are possible today, but are not expected
to be severe. Additional thunderstorms are possible this evening
into early Friday, and a few of these storms could be strong to
severe west of St. Louis County to Pine County, Minnesota. Main
threats with stronger storms are damaging winds and large hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Additional rounds of thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon
through Saturday morning from the Brainerd Lakes area eastward
across northwest Wisconsin. Isolated to scattered severe storms
could produce damaging winds, large hail, an isolated tornado or
two, and heavy rain are possible. By Friday night into Saturday,
the threat of localized flooding increases as thunderstorms and
heavy rainfall continue to move over this same area.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Skywarn spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and
rainfall amounts to the National Weather Service.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
328 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-072>075-086-
152030-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Wapello-
328 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
Thunderstorms are possible late tonight into early Friday morning
northeast. Severe threat low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Scattered showers and storms possible throughout the day Friday,
especially in the afternoon and evening. There is a Marginal Risk
for severe weather across northern Iowa. Damaging winds will be
the primary threat. Storm chances continue Saturday.
The weekend will be hot with heat indices over 100 degrees
possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters may be needed Friday.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
234 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ089-090-098-NEZ013-014-
SDZ050-057>071-151945-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Nobles-Jackson-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Gregory-
Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-
Hutchinson-Turner-Lincoln-Bon Homme-Yankton-Union-
234 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, south
central South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Heat indices may approach or briefly exceed 100F in south central
South Dakota this afternoon, mainly west of the James River
Valley from Mitchell to Yankton.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Hot and humid conditions expand east Friday through the weekend.
Afternoon heat index readings will likely peak in 95 to 103 degree
range Friday and Saturday, with values as high as 105 to 110
degrees possible Saturday. Take care to protect yourself and heat-
sensitive individuals from the heat. Sunday should still prove to
be hot, but the heat index should remain in the 90s.
Low (20%) chances for showers and storms Friday night through
Sunday, with somewhat higher chances by Sunday night. Details on
timing and severe weather potential is uncertain.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
234 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
MNZ071-072-080-081-097-SDZ038>040-052>056-151945-
Lincoln-Lyon-Murray-Cottonwood-Pipestone-Beadle-Kingsbury-
Brookings-Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-
234 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Minnesota, central South Dakota, and east central South Dakota.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
An isolated thunderstorm will be possible late this afternoon.
Small hail and brief heavy rain will be possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Warm and humid conditions settle in Friday and Saturday with
afternoon heat indices of 95 to 100 expected.
Periodic chances for showers and storms Friday night through Sunday
night. The better chance for severe storms and heavy rain should
be on Saturday night into Sunday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
958 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
MNZ003-024-027>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-151500-
Clay-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-
East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
958 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
There is a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms late
afternoon into evening. The main hazards will be hail up to the
size of tennis balls, gusts to 70 mph, and possibly a couple
tornadoes. There remains uncertainty on coverage and timing of
storms.
General storm motion...Moving toward the east at 20 mph.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
There is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms Friday
afternoon within southeast North Dakota into west- central
Minnesota.
There is a low chance for strong thunderstorms Saturday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be required today.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
331 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025
MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-036-037-150845-
Traverse-Big Stone-Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-
Walworth-Edmunds-Day-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Spink-Clark-Codington-Grant-
Hamlin-Deuel-Hyde-Hand-
331 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025 /231 AM MDT Thu Aug 14 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota,
central South Dakota, north central South Dakota and northeast
South Dakota.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
A marginal risk for severe storms (1 of 5) is in place for late this
afternoon, evening and overnight, with a slight risk (2 of 5) for
the far northern tier of the state. Main threats are gusty winds and
large hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
A marginal risk for severe storms (1 of 5) is in place for Friday.
Main threats are gusty winds and large hail.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be requested. Weather spotters are encouraged
to submit reports to the National Weather Service in Aberdeen. The
public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook page, or our X
feed.
$$
