Hydrologic Outlook

Hydrologic Outlook
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Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
155 PM CST Tue Feb 11 2025

...There is an increased chance for flooding of area rivers this
weekend into early next week...

There is an increasing probability of widespread rainfall amounts
of 3 inches or more from Friday night through Sunday. This could
lead to flooding of rivers across Middle Tennessee. Some locations
may even reach moderate flood stage. Here are the rivers where any
location along the river has a chance to reach Action Stage, Minor
Flood Stage, or Moderate Flood Stage over the weekend and into
early next week:

Buffalo River -
    20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
    40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
    70% chance of reaching Action Stage

Cumberland River Below Old Hickory Dam -
    <5% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
    10% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
    100% chance of reaching Action Stage

Duck River Below Shelbyville -
    10% chance of reaching Major Flood Stage
    30% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
    40% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
    70% chance of reaching Action Stage

Harpeth River between Franklin and Kingston Springs -
    20% chance of reaching Moderate Flood Stage
    30% chance of reaching Minor Flood Stage
    40% chance of reaching Action Stage


The saturated soils in place ahead of this event could lead to quick
rises in smaller creeks and streams as well, especially with any
strong thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. This time of
year rainfall rates of 0.5 to 1.0 inches per hour are enough to
cause flash flooding, and overwhelm low lying and poor draining
areas.

Stay tuned for additional updates and information to be prepared for
this potentially significant flooding event.

$$

LaRosa