Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
515 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
515 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025


...LIMITED SEVERE THREAT AFTER MIDNIGHT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...South of Interstate 40.
ONSET...After Midnight.

DISCUSSION...
Another round of thunderstorms is expected to develop near and
just north of a stalled frontal boundary toward daybreak Thursday,
most likely across areas south of Interstate 40. These storms will
largely pose a large hail threat, although depending on how far
north the boundary stalls, there may also be an excessive
rainfall, damaging wind, and limited tornado threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential
        ...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The weather pattern remains favorable for multiple rounds of
heavy rain and thunderstorms Thursday through Saturday especially
from southeast Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas. Expect both
flash flooding and main stem river flooding concerns to increase
both Friday and Saturday. Severe weather potential will also exist
Thursday and Friday, focused across areas south and east of
Interstate 44. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
concerns, although a limited threat for tornadoes may also exist.

Rain chances will gradually end during the daytime Sunday, with
breezy northerly winds persisting through the afternoon.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact
parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the
weekend. Multiple periods of response may be required.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
119 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-031830-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
119 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025 /219 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A major outbreak of severe storms with strong, long track
tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds is expected across
the Quad State this afternoon and evening, and possibly into the
overnight hours. Storms will move to the northeast at 60-70 mph.

The storms will eventually form into a line tonight, mainly over
west Kentucky. The line may become stationary resulting in heavy
rainfall and possibly some flooding problems. A Flood Watch is in
effect for the entire region.

A Wind Advisory is in effect for the entire region until midnight.
South winds may gust 40 to 55 mph at times ahead of the storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall
are expected Thursday through Saturday night. A Flood Watch is in
effect for this entire period. Significant flash flooding and
rapid rises on area rivers are likely. River flooding is already
forecast in some locations. The worst flash flooding threat will
be Friday night through Saturday night.

In addition, to the heavy rainfall and flooding concerns, severe
storms will be possible over much of the region Thursday afternoon
and night, and again Friday night into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested tonight across the entire area and
will likely be required as needed through Saturday.

$$

JGG