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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
507 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-171000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
507 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Heat index values of 105 degrees to in excess of 110 degrees are
expected again this afternoon over most of the forecast area. In
addition to hazardous heat, increasing chances for thunderstorms
are expected across northern Arkansas later this evening, a few
of which may become strong to briefly severe. Main hazards with
thunderstorms will be isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast Wednesday
and Thursday, along and ahead of the slow moving cold front. While
organized severe weather is not expected, heavy downpours could
lead to localized flash flooding.

Drier and cooler weather will return later in the week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
535 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-171000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
535 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024 /635 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will impact areas along and
north of Interstate 64 this morning. Locally heavy rain and minor
flooding issues will be the main impacts.

Dangerous heat and humidity will continue for much of the region
through early tonight. Refer to the Heat Advisory for more
details.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast late this
afternoon through tonight. A few strong to severe thunderstorms
with damaging wind gusts are possible.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rainfall
tonight for parts of the area. Refer to the Flood Watch for more
details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rainfall
through early Wednesday morning for parts of the area. Refer to
the Flood Watch for more details.

There is a chance of thunderstorms through much of the day
Wednesday. While no severe thunderstorms are forecast, some
thunderstorms may produce locally heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation cannot be ruled out this afternoon and tonight.

$$

DWS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
532 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
532 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal hail risk.
  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Significant excessive heat risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will move into central Missouri
beginning Tuesday morning. These storms will contain lightning
but are likely to stay sub-severe.

Greater chances for thunderstorms (60-80%) this evening. Some
severe storms with damaging winds and localized flash flooding may
occur.

Heat indices of 100 to 108 degrees possible Tuesday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms from Tuesday night continue into Wednesday morning.
Localized areas of 3-5" of rainfall may lead to flash flodding.
Strong winds are also a threat with these storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Kenny

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
530 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-171030-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
530 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for our Four-State area of southern
Arkansas, northern Louisiana, eastern Texas and southeast Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the Heat Advisory.

This little mid July heat wave continues with mostly sunny to partly
cloudy skies today with mid to upper 90s. The southerly winds will
keep the humidity in the mix with Heat Index calculations back in the
danger zone from 105 up to 110 this afternoon. Otherwise, quiet
conditions will prevail today and overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorm will become possible late on
Wednesday and continue dropping southward overnight into our Four-State
area with another cool front. Thursday will be the cooler and wetter
day with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms sweeping
southward. Chances for rainfall will decrease for a good bit for
Friday, but return for this weekend with a weak upper low settling
across the Red River Valley.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

24

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
451 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
451 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Primarily along and north of Interstate 40.
ONSET...Late afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Evening.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms are ongoing early this morning
across northeast Oklahoma and these storms may persist
into early afternoon while slowly spreading eastward.
Additional storms are possible by late afternoon across
northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas. These
storms would have risk of locally damaging winds.
Overnight the coverage of thunderstorms is expected to
increase along and north of Interstate 40. A few strong
to severe storms are possible along with locally heavy
rainfall. Additionally, hot and humid conditions will
continue this afternoon with afternoon heat index
values of 105 to 110 degrees.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY through MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are likely to be ongoing
early Wednesday as they spread southward as a cold front
moves into the region. Thunderstorms may persist across
far southeast Oklahoma into Thursday, otherwise much
cooler temperatures are expected behind the passing cold
front. The weather pattern over the weekend into
early next week will become favorable for daily
thunderstorm chances and temperatures below normal
for mid July.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
355 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-171100-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
355 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Dangerous heat will persist today with many locations topping 100
degrees. Even where temperatures peak in the 90s, triple-digit heat
index values are likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
The heat will continue into Wednesday when heat index values will
again reach the triple digits.

Storm chances return Wednesday and Thursday as a rare summer cold
front enters the region. The overall severe threat will be low, but a
few storms could be accompanied by frequent lightning and strong
gusty winds.

An unsettled pattern will maintain daily storm chances into next
week. Severe weather is unlikely Friday through Monday, but heavy
rainfall will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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