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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
334 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-050845-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
334 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong south winds gusting as high as 35 to 45 MPH, combined with
unseasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions, will result in
elevated fire danger this afternoon. Use extreme caution to avoid
sparking a fire, especially in drier grasses or fields where fall
harvest activities are underway, as rapid fire spread is likely.

Scattered showers or a few thunderstorms are possible mainly west of
Interstate 29 tonight. The risk of severe weather is low, but any
showers or storms could locally enhance already gusty winds which
will persist into tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1126 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-051630-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
1126 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025 /1026 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon until
mid-evening for all of west central Nebraska. The concern is
southerly winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph and afternoon
humidity falling to around 20 percent. Any fire start will have the
potential for rapid spread and erratic behavior.

Southerly winds gusting up to 45 mph, with locally higher gusts
possible across north central Nebraska, are likely much of the day
today. This will lead to the threat of strong crosswinds affecting
primarily east-west routes.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible as early as mid-
afternoon but more likely this evening for areas west of Highway 83
and north of I-80. A few stronger storms are possible with isolated
instances of damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Taylor

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
422 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-050930-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-Page-
Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-Stanton-
Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas-
Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-
Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
422 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, east central Nebraska, northeast Nebraska and southeast
Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Windy and dry conditions will lead to very high fire danger
near the South Dakota border on Saturday afternoon. Elsewhere,
wildfire potential will remain confined to agricultural fields where
harvesting is ongoing.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Showers and storms expected Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning
across southeast Nebraska and southwest Iowa. There will be a band
of heavier rainfall amounts of around 1.5 to 2.5 inches expected with
locally higher amounts possible. Locally higher amounts could lead to
flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
322 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

SDZ001-002-012>014-024>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>078-WYZ054>060-
051300-
Harding-Northern Perkins-Butte-Northern Meade Co Plains-Ziebach-
Northern Black Hills-Northern Foothills-Rapid City-
Southern Foothills-Central Black Hills-Southern Black Hills-
Custer Co Plains-Pennington Co Plains-Haakon-Western Fall River-
Northern Oglala Lakota-Northern Jackson-Bennett-Mellette-Todd-
Tripp-Sturgis/Piedmont Foothills-Southern Meade Co Plains-
Hermosa Foothills-Eastern Fall River-Southern Oglala Lakota-
Southern Jackson-Southern Perkins-Northern Campbell-
Southern Campbell-Western Crook-Wyoming Black Hills-
Weston County Plains-Newcastle-Northeastern Crook-
322 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025 /422 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western South
Dakota and northeastern Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a slight chance for thunderstorms today. Severe weather
is not expected, but some storms could produce gusty winds and
small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
413 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-050915-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
413 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Windy conditions and elevated fire weather, especially in
cropland, is forecast on Saturday. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will
be common over western and parts of northern Iowa with a few gusts
over 40 mph possible in these areas. Very high to extreme cropland
fire danger will develop due to the dry cropland and pose a risk
of fast fire spread for any fire starts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Elevated fire weather conditions for cropland is expected again
Sunday, though winds will be slightly lower at 30-35 mph with
slightly higher minimum RH values in the upper 30s to low 40s.

Chances for thunderstorms return to central Iowa later Sunday
afternoon or Sunday night into early Tuesday, but there is no
strong signal for severe weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
333 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

SDZ003>006-009-010-015>018-033>037-045-048-051-050845-
Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Walworth-Edmunds-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-
Spink-Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
333 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025 /233 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central South Dakota, north
central South Dakota and northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a Marginal Risk, level 1 of 5, for severe storms this
evening and tonight. Damaging winds will be the main concern. Heavy
rain or hail will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

On Sunday the winds will be switching out of the northwest, with
gusts of 35 to 45 mph with locally higher gusts possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
333 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

MNZ039-046-SDZ007-008-011-019>023-050845-
Traverse-Big Stone-Marshall-Roberts-Day-Clark-Codington-Grant-Hamlin-
Deuel-
333 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota and
northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Winds out of the south will gust between 30 to 40 mph by this
afternoon. The combination of near record high temperatures, gusty
winds, and dry crops and/or grasses will result in elevated fire
danger with dangerous burning conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Downsloping winds gusts of 30 to 45 mph are possible over the
eastern Sisseton Hills/Prairie Coteau early Sunday morning.

Through Sunday the winds will be switching out of the northwest,
with gusts of 35 to 45 mph with locally higher gusts possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
308 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
050815-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
308 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph are expected today, increasing in the
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Wind gusts around 40 mph are expected Sunday.

There is a chance for frost or a light freeze Tuesday night
across parts of central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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