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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0503 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171003-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0503 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There will be a chance for intermittent thunderstorms through late
tonight. A few storms could be strong to marginally severe, and
could produce locally moderate to heavy rainfall.

Please go to weather.gov/phi/ehwo for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
737 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-171245-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
737 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few strong to marginally severe storms will remain possible
into the late morning, capable of dime size hail and 50 to 60 mph
wind gusts. Some storms will also produce heavy rainfall rates,
mainly east of the Kansas turnpike.

The risk for severe storms will become a bit more likely again by
late this afternoon or evening through tonight. These storms will
have the potential to produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and half
dollar size hail. Locally heavy rainfall could also result in minor
lowland flooding tonight.

Heat indices of 104-108 will be possible for a few hours this
afternoon along the Oklahoma State line. See the latest heat
advisory for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Chances for thunderstorms will linger into Wednesday before ending
by Wednesday evening. Slight chances for thunderstorms will return
by Friday night through Sunday, though the risk for severe weather
appears low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
532 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
532 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal hail risk.
  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Significant excessive heat risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will move into central Missouri
beginning Tuesday morning. These storms will contain lightning
but are likely to stay sub-severe.

Greater chances for thunderstorms (60-80%) this evening. Some
severe storms with damaging winds and localized flash flooding may
occur.

Heat indices of 100 to 108 degrees possible Tuesday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms from Tuesday night continue into Wednesday morning.
Localized areas of 3-5" of rainfall may lead to flash flodding.
Strong winds are also a threat with these storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Kenny

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
408 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-162315-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
408 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Iowa...west central Iowa...east central Nebraska...northeast
Nebraska and southeast Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few strong storms capable of hail and gusty winds will be
possible Tuesday from 5 to 10 PM, with the highest potential in
northeast Nebraska.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
406 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-170915-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
406 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance for thunderstorms throughout the day and overnight,
with the greatest coverage expected early this morning and this
evening. Locally heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible,
particularly this evening and overnight. Isolated damaging wind gusts
will also be possible.

Dangerous heat may also linger across the Ozarks today, with heat
index values approaching 105 degrees in the afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few thunderstorms may linger into Wednesday morning across the
Ozarks and southern Illinois, and a few weaker storms may develop in
these areas again in the afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

19

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
328 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-170830-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
328 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Non-severe thunderstorms are possible midday into this evening
over western into portions of northern Iowa.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
314 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-170815-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
314 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered storms are likely this morning with additional development
possible through the afternoon. A few storms may be strong to severe
with wind gusts up to 60 mph being the main hazard.

Additional severe storms may move into north central Kansas this
evening. These storms would be capable of large hail and damaging
wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER MESSAGE

Weather spotters are encouraged to relay reports of hail, damaging
wind, tornadoes and flooding.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
312 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-170815-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
312 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Patchy morning fog will lower visibility to under 1/4 mile at
times through 8 AM. Use caution if driving early today.

Area rivers are experiencing flooding. Please see the
latest Flood Statements and Flood Warnings for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$


ERVIN

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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