Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
251 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-152000-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
251 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
Showers and thunderstorms are possible tonight south of a
Fairfield to Galesburg line. Lightning and small hail are the main
threats. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible tonight in
far northeast Missouri.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
There is a risk of severe thunderstorms across the entire area
Friday night through Monday night. Isolated severe storms are
possible Friday night and Saturday night with more widespread
severe thunderstorms possible Sunday through Tuesday. The best
threat for severe storms is on Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed late tonight.
$$
DC
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
234 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-151945-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
234 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight
Elevated fire conditions are possible across parts of northern
Iowa through early evening due to south winds of 20-25 mph
gusting to near 40 mph and relative humidity falling into the
25-30% range. Blowing dust may also occur.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
An active weather pattern will be in place Friday through at
least Monday, with chances for strong to severe thunderstorms at
times each day. However the details of timing, location, and
hazard types will be better determined in the coming days.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is possible at times Friday through Monday.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
234 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-151945-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
234 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026 /334 PM EDT Thu May 14 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk overnight into Friday morning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Friday and Saturday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Level 1 of 5 Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Sunday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
Monday and Tuesday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Level 2 of 5 Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Wednesday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be necessary through tonight.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
233 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-151945-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
233 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast tonight and early Friday
morning. Severe weather is not expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Several chances for thunderstorms are expected through the period.
Some of these storms could be strong to severe at times, with the
highest chances being Friday night and Saturday, then again on
Monday and Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
$$
25
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
555 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-151100-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
555 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAYS ONE THROUGH SEVEN...Today through Wednesday.
More detailed information can be accessed at:
https://www.weather.gov/media/lsx/DssPacket.pdf
The Area Forecast Discussion is available at:
https://forecast.weather.gov/
product.php?issuedby=LSX&product=AFD&site=lsx
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and humid conditions are expected Friday through the
weekend. Although occasional rounds of thunderstorms are
expected, the severe weather threat is low.
- A cold front early next week will bring a more focused regional
threat for severe thunderstorms Monday or Tuesday.
NOTE: Starting May 29, 2026, this outlook product will be
discontinued. Please see the above products for more detailed
forecast information.
$$
WFO LSX
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-151006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* An active weather pattern will setup later Thursday and continue
through Monday.
- A few showers and non-severe storms continue to look
possible this morning.
- A very unstable airmass in place Friday may result in
potential afternoon/ evening severe storms. Otherwise,
chances increase overnight as a convective system may move
through the area. Large hail and damaging winds are possible
for the afternoon/evening activity. Threat becomes more
damaging winds overnight.
- Warm and humid conditions through the weekend will keep the potential
for afternoon and/or overnight storms going Saturday and
Sunday.
- More widespread severe weather looks possible Monday as a
cold front moves through a very unstable airmass.
$$
