Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
711 FNUS28 KWNS 072102 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 PM CDT Thu May 07 2026 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z Upper troughing will extend along the eastern U.S. and persist through early next week as an upper-level low over eastern Canada remains anchored. This pattern will encourage unsettled weather and repeated chances for precipitation across portions of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic. Given a widespread transition to green-up and expected appreciable moisture return, broader fire weather concerns may temporarily be dampened for much of the eastern U.S. through the duration of the forecast period. An upper ridge will prevail across the western U.S., potentially shifting into the central U.S. by mid-week. The overall pattern may result in a fuel drying/curing event, given above normal temperatures and dry conditions to persist for much of the Intermountain West. However, timely green-up phase of fuels and lighter winds should keep broader concerns low. Localized fire weather concerns may emerge in terrain-favored areas where stronger winds overlap dry fuels. Between western U.S. ridging and troughing to the east, broad northwesterly flow over the High Plains and Upper Midwest is expected to promote sporadic dry and windy conditions atop drying fuels. A series of shortwaves are forecast to move along the eastern periphery of the upper ridge on Day 3/Saturday and Day 5/Monday, providing scattered chances of precipitation and gusty winds. Conversely, widespread appreciable precipitation is unlikely. Uncertainty in medium-range guidance precludes critical probabilities at this time; however, fire weather potential should become more evident in future outlooks. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/07/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$