087
FXUS64 KMOB 102337
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
637 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 628 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

 - Patchy, locally dense fog can`t be ruled out again late tonight
   into early Monday morning.

 - A strong storm or two can`t be ruled Monday afternoon ahead of
   a cold front.

 - Dry weather and above normal high temperatures return to the
   forecast mid to late week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 628 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Forecast remains on track for tonight. BB-8

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Our series of shortwaves continue across the region, with today
being a brief reprieve as mostly dry conditions prevail. Isolated
showers and storms can`t be ruled out this afternoon, but most
locations will remain dry. As we head into Monday, our main
shortwave pushes across the area bringing along with it a cold
front across the area during the afternoon hours. Shear and CAPE
will be adequate for loosely organized storms potentially
producing some strong to locally damaging wind gusts and/or small
hail. At the moment, the risk remains rather low for both today
and Monday. Temperatures will be warmer today and tomorrow
compared to the past couple days, with most locations likely
making it into the 80`s. Tonight may feature some patchy, locally
dense fog across portions of the area, although confidence on
coverage of fog and density precludes any dense fog advisory
issuance at this time.

In the wake of our front, our wet period comes to an end and we
return to the status quo of dry and warm weather to round out the
mid to late week period. Temperatures warm into the 80`s each day,
perhaps even upper 80`s to near 90 returning to the forecast by
the weekend. Overnight temperatures will generally stay in the
middle and upper 50`s over the interior and upper 50`s to lower
60`s nearer the coast each night. A Low risk of rip currents
remains in place throughout most of the week, perhaps temporarily
bumping up to a Moderate risk for Florida Panhandle beaches
Wednesday. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

VFR conditions will persist into the evening/overnight hours with
light and variable winds overnight. Some IFR to LIFR ceilings
could develop mainly north of I-10 across interior Alabama and
interior southeastern Mississippi after midnight. Some patchy fog
will also be possible leading to IFR to LIFR visbys. Ceilings and
visbys should return to MVFR to VFR during the day tomorrow as a
cold front approaches from the north. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms will be possible mainly along the I-10
corridor during the late afternoon leading to MVFR to IFR visbys
and cigs. Gusty winds could accompany the strongest storms. BB-8

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

A light onshore flow persists through Monday. Winds turn westerly
then northerly late in the day Monday behind a cold front. Winds
briefly increase Monday night before a light easterly to
northeasterly flow develops on Tuesday. Winds become variable,
primarily offshore flow, by mid-week before shifting back to onshore
flow Friday. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      65  84  64  84 /  10  70  30  10
Pensacola   68  82  67  82 /   0  50  40  10
Destin      69  81  68  82 /   0  30  30  10
Evergreen   62  84  60  84 /  10  50  20  20
Waynesboro  64  80  59  82 /  20  50  10   0
Camden      62  80  59  81 /  10  50  20   0
Crestview   63  86  63  86 /  10  60  30  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$