799
FNUS72 KTAE 100038
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for YellOw Creek Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
838 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on July 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are decreasing for the evening with
clouds decreasing overnight and winds, though generally from the
southwest, will be light and variable overnight.

The morning should be dry with winds becoming established from
the southwest at 5 to 10 mph by mid morning. Showers and
thunderstorms become likely after 2PM with the heating of the day
and resultant seabreeze development. Gusty and erratic winds, as
well as dangerous cloud to ground lightning, can be expected in
and around thunderstorms.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 40 percent early in
                    the afternoon increasing to 70 percent early in
                    the afternoon decreasing to 60 percent
                    decreasing to 50 percent late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 31 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 47 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    40 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  34  37  43  58  64  68  77  74
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  20  20  40  70  60  50  40
Temp............82  87  90  91  92  91  91  90  90
RH..............88  75  66  64  60  62  62  64  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   9   9   10  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.9 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.4 4.6 3.8 3.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10
Dispersion......14  26  35  42  46  51  49  46  40
LVORI...........4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............6.
Dispersion index....35 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  62  47  44  45  45  39  33  27  29  30  32
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH
CWR.............30  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............90  88  85  83  81  80  78  77  77  76  76  76
RH..............64  68  72  80  85  88  94  94  94  97  94  94
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  9   8   7   7
Dispersion......37  32  6   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9

$$
Forecaster...Scholl
Requested by...IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517708.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kearstin.hess@usda.gov