362
FNUS73 KPAH 181336
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Lift Station...USFWS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
836 AM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Fire danger is heightened today due to increasing winds, decreasing
relative humidity, and drying fuels. Mixing heights will not reach
the critical 1700 FT AGL threshold until 11 AM CDT. Poor initial
dispersal conditions will improve during the afternoon heating hours.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 75.
RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 16 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 12 to 16 mph with gusts to around
                    38 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 26 to 32 mph increasing to 36 to 37 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /32000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...very
                    good /115900 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  63  68  71  74  75  75  75
RH..............49  50  43  41  35  34  33  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..16  15  17  20  20  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.29  30  31  33  35  36  38  38
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.4 3.5 3.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.26  28  30  31  32  36  37  37
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32  42  55  69  75  107 111 116
Ventrate Cat....PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 57.
RH..................Max 75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 12 to 15 mph with gusts to around
                    35 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 31 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24100 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  71  68  66  65  65  63  63  63  62  61  59
RH..............35  39  43  45  48  46  50  50  50  54  56  62
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..18  17  17  17  16  16  16  15  16  17  17  18
20 FT wind gust.35  29  30  31  32  32  31  31  31  32  33  35
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.28  25  25  26  28  28  26  29  29  30  29  31
Vrate kt-ft/1K..34  28  25  27  27  28  24  26  28  28  25  27
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 44 mph
                    increasing to 47 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 32 to 41 mph shifting to the southwest 43
                    to 48 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (127600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (177200
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............59     58     62     65     69     68
RH..............64     75     70     63     53     49
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      SW
20 FT wind spd..18     18     20     22     24     23
20 FT wind gust.35     38     43     44     46     46
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1    1.8    2.4    2.9    4.5    6.4
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      SW     SW
Transp wind spd.32     35     36     39     45     48
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31     53     74     99     177    268
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD   EXNT   EXNT

$$
Forecaster...WFO PADUCAH
Requested by...McKenzi Schaede
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506903.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_jones@fws.gov,mckenzi_schaede@fws.gov