648
FNUS73 KMKX 181533
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Pheasant Branch Creek Cooridor...City of Middleton
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
824 AM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 18.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

The primary uncertainty with the forecast here is the northward
extent of the warm front. The forecast favors the warm front
shifting a little north of the burn site. This should favor better
mixing heights to near 3800 feet AGL or higher, highs in the
lower 60s and modest east southeast winds. Minimum relative
humidity values should drop into the 35 to 39 percent range, and
may drop to as low as 30 percent if it gets a few degrees warmer.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 18 mph shifting to the southeast 18
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /7800 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /66200 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  84  81  78  66  65  60  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............47  51  55  58  61  62  61  60
RH..............68  59  53  43  39  37  39  42
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   8   9   10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  11  13  14  14  16  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.7 3.8 3.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.10  12  15  18  20  21  20  18
SDspl kt-ft/10008   12  20  34  50  66  65  48

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain overnight.
Temperature.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the evening then 20 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (22100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (8800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........73  74  74  75  77  74  77  76  77  78  80  84
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  51  49  47  45  44  44  43  43  42  42  42
RH..............57  63  63  68  73  73  76  79  79  86  86  86
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  16  16  16  14  14  16  16  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.17  16  17  18  16  15  16  16  15  14  13  15
SDspl kt-ft/100022  14  15  16  12  10  11  11  10  9   9   11

$$
Forecaster...Wood
Requested by...Tony Krohm
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506890.0/MKX
.DELDT 03/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tkrohm@cityofmiddleton.us