280
FNUS76 KMFR 182342
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for East Fork Scott...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
442 PM PDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on March 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Wednesday will start off dry, but southeast-south winds
will increase ahead of a cold front. Expect strong, gusty winds that
will switch to SW as the front moves through. The front will be
accompanied by a period of rain or rain/snow mixed at elevations above
3500 feet. Precipitation will taper off to showers Wednesday night into
Thursday. Then, the next system could bring another period of rain/snow
mixed on after noon Friday. Things should tend to dry out over the weekend
into the first part of next week.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Increasing cloudiness and becoming windy. A 40%
                    chance of rain or mixed rain/snow in the afternoon.
                    Precip amount: Trace-0.10".
Chance of lightning.4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast 2-6 mph increasing to 6-10 mph with
                    gusts to around 17 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 8-15 mph increasing to 20-30 mph with
                    gusts to 45 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 30-40 mph.
CWR.................30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather........ Rain or mixed rain/snow in the evening, tapering
                    off to snow showers overnight. Windy in the evening.
                    Chance of precipitation: near 100 percent.
                    Precip amount: 0.15-0.25".
Chance of lightning.2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest 6-10 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the evening,
                    decreasing to 2-6 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph early in the
                    evening,  decreasing to 6-12 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25-35 mph easing to 15-20 mph.
CWR.................87 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy with some sunny intervals. A 30% chance of snow
                    showers in the morning, then mixed rain/snow showers
                    in the afternoon.
                    Precip amount: 0-0.02".
Chance of lightning.2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
Eye level winds.....South 2-6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South 5-10 mph shifting to the southwest in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15-25 mph.
CWR.................10 percent.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Christopher Gentry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506989.0/MFR
.DELDT 03/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.gentry@usda.gov