080
FNUS72 KILM 181814
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Covington Drive...Florida Forest Service CIMT
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
214 PM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EDT on March 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds overhead tonight into tomorrow, bringing
dry conditions and near to above normal temperatures. The next
cold front will move through on Thursday followed by dry but colder
high pressure late in the week. Warmer but likely still dry
conditions are then expected this weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Max mixing hgt......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 14 mph.
Max vent rate.......Fair (43859 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........1.
Max ADI.............54.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0
Temp............68  69  69
RH..............18  19  20
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.12  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.3 2.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  13  12
Stability.......B   B   B
LVORI...........1   1   1
ADI.............54  51  33
Vrate mph-ft/1K.44  41  26
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...009 009 006

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the west 7 to
                    13 mph early in the evening.
Min vent rate.......Poor (2720 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Min ADI.............3.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   5   4   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  64  58  55  53  51  50  49  48  47  46  45
RH..............23  32  48  63  69  72  73  75  75  76  79  80
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.7   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   12  12  13
Stability.......F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.............4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.8   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   3   5   4   5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...006 006 008 008 008 009 009 009 005 005 005 003

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 12 mph shifting to the south late in
                    the afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Poor (20107 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............26.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   5   9   10  4   1   2   11  5   7   9   25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  44  44  51  59  66  70  73  75  76  75  74
RH..............81  84  85  73  58  41  36  32  30  30  31  32
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   6   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  9   9   8   6   6   6   6   8   9   12
Stability.......A   A   A   A   A   B   B   B   B   B   B   B
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............10  11  9   9   8   10  13  18  20  25  26  23
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   3   3   6   8   10  14  16  20  20  18
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...003 003 005 005 005 005 005 005 000 000 000 996

$$
Forecaster...Weiner
Requested by...Jon Johnson Plan Section Chief
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2506612.4/ILM
.DELDT 03/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jonathan.johnson@fdacs.gov