Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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129
FNUS75 KGJT 170853
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Dawson RX...SWD-BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
153 AM MST Tue Feb 17 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on February 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...Winter will return with strong winds...snow and a
possible thunderstorm the next few afternoons. Gusts of 30 to 40 mph
will be common the next few afternoons with the winds also creating
areas of blowing and drifting snowfall. Dispersal will be excellent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of blowing
                    snow. Snow showers with a slight chance of a
                    thunderstorm.
CWR.................50 percent.
Max temperature.....33-38.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts
                    40 to 50 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 38 mph.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy blowing
                    snow in the evening, then areas of blowing snow
                    overnight. Chance of snow showers in the
                    evening, then snow showers overnight.
CWR.................50 percent.
Min temperature.....24-29.
Max humidity........83-88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts
                    30 to 40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35000-39000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 35 mph.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Blowing snow. Snow
                    showers. Slight chance of an afternoon
                    thunderstorm.
CWR.................90 percent.
Max temperature.....29-34.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 40
                    to 50 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 46 mph.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Michael Sweet
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602864.0/GJT
.DELDT 02/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL msweet@blm.gov