Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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714
FNUS71 KAKQ 191321
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Nassawango Cordrey...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
921 AM EDT Wed Mar 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure remains over the area today with easterly winds
around 5-8 mph through the day. Temps warm quickly today to around
60 degrees by noon with afternoon highs in the upper 60s.
Meanwhile, dew points drop into the lower 30s this afternoon.
This will allow for Min RH of 25-30% this afternoon. Additionally,
mixing heights increase to around 2000 feet. Sunny skies continue
into early this afternoon with increasing clouds late this
afternoon, becoming mostly cloudy overnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3564 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (14834 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  14  19  23  28  32  36  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  56  60  62  65  64  64  61
RH..............52  47  39  35  30  31  30  33
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   8   8   11  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   5   8   11  14  14  13  10
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south around 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the south 8 to
                    9 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2645 mph-ft).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  57  65  69  73  76  75  73  72  74  75  77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  53  48  47  46  45  44  45  45  46  46  46
RH..............40  50  65  71  76  82  89  86  89  89  86  89
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.11  9   9   8   7   5   6   6   6   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
Vrate mph-ft/1K.7   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph increasing to 21 to 22 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5635 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (59109 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........71           55           63
Weather cov.....                          S CHC
Weather type....NONE         NONE         RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            20
Temp............46           54           66
RH..............89           74           50
20 FT wind......S 6G9        S 10G16      S 15G23
Mix hgt (ft)....500          1200         2700
Transport wind..S 12         S 17         S 22
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5            20           57
Ventrate Cat....POOR         POOR         FAIR

$$
Forecaster...MILLER
Requested by...Gabriel Cahalan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2507062.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gcahalan@tnc.org