Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3
893
FNUS51 KOKX 150736
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Patchy drizzle around this morning tapers and lead to
predominantly dry conditions much of the afternoon before
a few showers develop this evening and tonight. RH values
remain above 50 percent through Saturday. Light SE winds
today increase overnight into Sunday, with gusts up to 35 mph
developing by the afternoon.

NYZ212-160915-
New York City-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (0)       46 (+7)      63
RH % (24h trend)      73 (+19)     95 (+2)      68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SE 3-7       SE 6-10 G17  S 14-18 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 6-10      S 8-12 G24   S 19-23 G38
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.02
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2360         120          1820
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         SE 20        S 46
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30680        2040         72800
Max ADI Early         25 Fair      24 Fair      60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          30 Fair      25 Fair      75 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-160915-
Long Island-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-2)      42 (+5)      60
RH % (24h trend)      75 (+19)     99 (+3)      74
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       S 12-16 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       S 7-11 G23   S 16-20 G37
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01
Precip Duration       0            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120         100          990
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         SE 14        S 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25440        1200         35640
Max ADI Early         15 Gen Poor  20 Gen Poor  41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          27 Fair      22 Fair      49 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-160915-
Lower Hudson Valley-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-2)      45 (+10)     65
RH % (24h trend)      64 (+19)     96 (0)       67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8 G17   S 10-14 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    S 4-8 G23    S 14-18 G37
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.09
Precip Duration       0            2            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2770         250          3690
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 16         S 17         S 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     38780        3750         125460
Max ADI Early         25 Fair      34 Fair      70 Good
Max ADI Late          44 Gen Good  18 Gen Poor  90 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-160915-
Western Passaic-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-2)      45 (+10)     67
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+20)     96 (-2)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 3-7       S 8-12 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 4-8        S 3-7 G21    S 11-15 G34
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.14
Precip Duration       0            2            3
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2570         220          3860
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         S 13         S 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     33410        2420         138960
Max ADI Early         27 Fair      26 Fair      65 Good
Max ADI Late          35 Fair      14 Gen Poor  101 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-160915-
Eastern Passaic-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-2)      46 (+9)      67
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+20)     96 (-1)      66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       S 9-13 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       SE 4-8 G20   S 15-19 G38
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.07
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2540         170          3700
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         SE 12        S 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30480        1700         133200
Max ADI Early         23 Fair      27 Fair      77 Good
Max ADI Late          34 Fair      16 Gen Poor  108 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-160915-
Western Bergen-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-2)      46 (+10)     66
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+20)     96 (-2)      67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 3-7       S 9-13 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       SE 4-8 G20   S 13-17 G36
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.08
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2550         180          3370
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         SE 12        S 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30600        1800         117950
Max ADI Early         24 Fair      29 Fair      70 Good
Max ADI Late          36 Fair      15 Gen Poor  104 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-160915-
Eastern Bergen-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-3)      47 (+9)      65
RH % (24h trend)      69 (+20)     95 (+2)      67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 5-9       S 10-14 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 5-9       SE 5-9 G22   S 15-19 G38
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.04
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2580         160          2890
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         SE 14        S 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30960        1920         104040
Max ADI Early         24 Fair      28 Fair      70 Good
Max ADI Late          35 Fair      19 Gen Poor  101 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-160915-
Western Essex-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (-2)      46 (+9)      68
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+22)     94 (-4)      66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       S 10-14 G33
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 5-9       SE 5-9 G21   S 16-20 G38
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.06
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2470         190          3790
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 13         SE 13        S 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27170        2090         144020
Max ADI Early         21 Fair      23 Fair      82 Good
Max ADI Late          29 Fair      18 Gen Poor  111 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-160915-
Eastern Essex-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-3)      47 (+8)      67
RH % (24h trend)      71 (+25)     93 (-2)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       S 11-15 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 5-9       SE 5-9 G20   S 16-20 G37
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.04
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2310         160          3240
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 13         SE 14        S 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25410        1920         123120
Max ADI Early         23 Fair      23 Fair      84 Good
Max ADI Late          30 Fair      18 Gen Poor  110 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-160915-
Western Union-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      56 (0)       47 (+10)     69
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+19)     95 (-2)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       S 10-14 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       SE 4-8 G20   S 15-19 G38
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.05
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2500         80           3830
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 12         SE 14        S 45
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25000        960          149370
Max ADI Early         21 Fair      18 Gen Poor  89 Good
Max ADI Late          26 Fair      17 Gen Poor  117 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-160915-
Eastern Union-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      55 (0)       48 (+9)      68
RH % (24h trend)      70 (+21)     93 (-2)      63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       S 10-14 G35
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       SE 5-9 G21   S 17-21 G43
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.03
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2250         110          3530
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 12         SE 15        S 46
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     22500        1430         141200
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      19 Gen Poor  89 Good
Max ADI Late          27 Fair      17 Gen Poor  119 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-160915-
Hudson-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-2)      47 (+8)      65
RH % (24h trend)      72 (+23)     93 (-1)      67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SE 3-7       SE 6-10      S 13-17 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 6-10      SE 7-11 G22  S 18-22 G37
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.03
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2340         160          2400
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         SE 18        S 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28080        2560         91200
Max ADI Early         25 Fair      25 Fair      68 Good
Max ADI Late          31 Fair      22 Fair      98 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-160915-
Northern Fairfield-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-6)      43 (+8)      62
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+24)     96 (-2)      73
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 3-7       S 9-13 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9        S 4-8 G19    S 13-17 G33
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.07
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2180         280          2460
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 16         S 14         S 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30520        3360         86100
Max ADI Early         23 Fair      29 Fair      61 Good
Max ADI Late          38 Fair      17 Gen Poor  81 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-160915-
Southern Fairfield-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (-1)      43 (+7)      62
RH % (24h trend)      74 (+20)     97 (+2)      72
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       S 10-14 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       SE 5-9 G21   S 15-19 G36
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.04
Precip Duration       0            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2180         120          2210
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 13         SE 13        S 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     23980        1320         77350
Max ADI Early         15 Gen Poor  23 Fair      56 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          32 Fair      17 Gen Poor  75 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-160915-
Northern New Haven-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (-7)      43 (+8)      62
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+26)     98 (+1)      72
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 8-12 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9        S 3-7 G18    S 13-17 G33
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.05
Precip Duration       0            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2330         200          2340
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 17         S 12         S 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     34950        2000         77220
Max ADI Early         23 Fair      30 Fair      60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          39 Fair      15 Gen Poor  78 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-160915-
Southern New Haven-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      51 (-3)      42 (+6)      61
RH % (24h trend)      74 (+25)     99 (+1)      76
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       S 3-7 G18    S 13-17 G31
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.02
Precip Duration       0            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2220         140          1710
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         SE  9        S 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     28860        1120         53010
Max ADI Early         10 Poor      22 Fair      45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          30 Fair      15 Gen Poor  62 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-160915-
Northern Middlesex-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-5)      43 (+8)      63
RH % (24h trend)      66 (+28)     99 (+3)      72
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 9-13 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9        S 4-8 G21    S 14-18 G35
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.03
Precip Duration       0            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2380         190          2420
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 17         S 14         S 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     35700        2280         84700
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  26 Fair      58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          36 Fair      17 Gen Poor  77 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-160915-
Southern Middlesex-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-3)      42 (+5)      60
RH % (24h trend)      74 (+21)     100 (+2)     80
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 3-7       S 3-7 G18    S 12-16 G30
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.02
Precip Duration       0            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2090         130          1350
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         SE  8        S 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     25080        910          41850
Max ADI Early         6 Very Poor  21 Fair      40 Fair
Max ADI Late          29 Fair      11 Poor      55 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-160915-
Northern New London-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-4)      41 (+6)      62
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+23)     99 (+1)      77
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 9-13 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 4-8        S 4-8 G21    S 13-17 G34
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.02
Precip Duration       0            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2150         190          2080
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 16         S 10         S 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30100        1710         72800
Max ADI Early         11 Poor      24 Fair      57 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          32 Fair      17 Gen Poor  74 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-160915-
Southern New London-
336 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Drizzle      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-2)      41 (+5)      60
RH % (24h trend)      76 (+19)     100 (+2)     81
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 3-7       S 3-7 G19    S 12-16 G31
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.02
Precip Duration       0            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1670         140          1000
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         SE  8        S 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20040        980          29000
Max ADI Early         19 Gen Poor  13 Gen Poor  31 Fair
Max ADI Late          23 Fair      14 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Windy, showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs around 60. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a
chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. South
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of
rain showers. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 38 percent. West winds 15 to 25 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$