Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
088
FNUS52 KILM 120553
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
153 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated strong storms may be possible this afternoon and evening,
particularly in NE SC. Otherwise, shower and storm coverage might
be lower than normal this weekend, with an increase in coverage
into early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-121900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
153 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 50
Chance Thunder (%) 30 20 20
Max/Min Temp 94 72 94
Min/Max RH (%) 57 99 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.10 0.05 0.08
Precip Duration 1 0 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 6 AM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2000 81/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 NE 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 24000
ADI Early 23 Fair 6 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 40 Fair 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-121900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
153 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 50
Max/Min Temp 93 73 94
Min/Max RH (%) 54 99 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.05 0.04 0.05
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 11 AM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 38500
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-121900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
153 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 50 40 20
Max/Min Temp 92 73 93
Min/Max RH (%) 58 99 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.07 0.12
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47000 41600
ADI Early 27 Fair 7 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 7
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-121900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
153 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 50
Chance Thunder (%) 50 40 50
Max/Min Temp 93 72 94
Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.20 0.07
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 11 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 N 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 39900
ADI Early 23 Fair 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW