Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
050
FNUS55 KFGZ 150746
FWFFGZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Arizona
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
+++ Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds +++
+++ 20-foot wind forecast of `light winds` indicates mainly
terrain driven winds +++
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Today and Wednesday...Cooling trend with scattered
showers and thunderstorms each day. Some dry lightning strikes are
possible Tuesday, then more wetting rains are expected on Wednesday.
Daytime winds are southwest through west 5-15 mph each day. Gusty,
erratic winds possible in and around thunderstorms.
Thursday through Saturday...Widespread shower and thunderstorm
activity, decreasing in coverage on Saturday. Wetting rains are
likely within any stronger storms. Winds west/southwest 5-15 mph,
gusting to around 20 mph each day. Gusty, erratic winds possible in
and around thunderstorms.
AZZ115-160130-
Western Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 115)-
Including the cities of Flagstaff, Williams, and Munds Park
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
through the day. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Haze in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of
rain showers through the night. Slight chance
of thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....45-55.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-87.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and chance of
showers. Highs 72 to 82. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 75 to 85. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 77 to
87. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph with gusts up to
20 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ106-160130-
Grand Canyon Country (Fire Weather Zone 106)-
Including the cities of Grand Canyon Village, Supai,
and North Rim
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers and
dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....99-109 at the River...85-95 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent at the River...14-19 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke in the evening.
Slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....68-76 at the River...55-65 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........36-56 percent at the River...44-64 percent at
the Rim.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph becoming southwest 5 to 15
mph after midnight.
PoP.................10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....94-102 at the River...81-91 at the Rim.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent at the River...20-25 percent at the
Rim.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
86 to 96. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 89 to
99. Light winds.
$$
AZZ108-160130-
Yavapai County Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 108)-
Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork,
and Crown King
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 88 below 5000 feet...around 83 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 68 below 5000 feet...around 64 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........62 percent below 5000 feet...65 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....Around 83 below 5000 feet...around 79 above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........35 percent below 5000 feet...38 percent above
5000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 78 to 85. Light winds becoming southwest
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 81 to 90. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 91. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph with
gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ137-160130-
Yavapai County Valleys and Basins (Fire Weather Zone 137)-
Including the cities of Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction,
and Bagdad
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....92-102.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........62-82 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the evening.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....88-98.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........South 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds becoming southeast
around 10 mph in the morning, then shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ138-160130-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 138)-
Including the cities of Sedona and Village of Oak Creek
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers
through the day. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-98.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of
rain showers through the night. Slight chance
of thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....61-67 below 5000 feet...56-66 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........55-75 percent below 5000 feet...61-81 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers in the morning.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....83-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and chance of
showers. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and slight chance
of showers. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ105-160130-
Marble and Glen Canyons (Fire Weather Zone 105)-
Including the cities of Page and Lees Ferry
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Haze through the day. Areas of
smoke in the afternoon. Slight chance of
showers and dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....96-106.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening. Haze and areas of
smoke through the night.
Min temperature.....67-77.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........30-50 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Areas of smoke in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
through the day.
Max temperature.....91-101.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 87 to 97. Southwest winds around 10 mph
early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ104-160130-
Kaibab Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 104)-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake and Fredonia
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Haze in the morning. Areas of
smoke in the afternoon. Slight chance of rain
showers and dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....91-101 below 7000 feet...81-91 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent below 7000 feet...14-19 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening. Areas of smoke in
the evening. Haze after midnight.
Min temperature.....58-68 below 7000 feet...48-58 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........44-64 percent below 7000 feet...68-88 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........West 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day. Haze and areas of smoke in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-96 below 7000 feet...76-86 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent below 7000 feet...19-29 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 90. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
80 to 90. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph.
$$
AZZ107-160130-
Coconino Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 107)-
Including the city of Valle
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers and
dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....88-95 on the Plateau...99-109 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........14-19 percent on the Plateau...12 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....53-63 on the Plateau...68-78 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........69-89 percent on the Plateau...35-55 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 15
mph after midnight.
PoP.................0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day.
Max temperature.....83-90 on the Plateau...95-105 at the River.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent on the Plateau...16 percent at
the River.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 79 to 89. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
80 to 90. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 83 to
93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ109-160130-
Northeast Plateau And Mesas Hwy 264 Northward (Fire Weather Zone
109)-
Including the cities of Keams Canyon and Kaibito
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Haze through the day. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and dry thunderstorms
in the evening. Haze and areas of smoke through
the night.
Min temperature.....62-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the evening.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....87-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 89. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 90. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 85 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ140-160130-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264 (Fire Weather Zone
140)-
Including the cities of Dilkon and Kykotsmovi
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....91-98.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening. Haze through the
night.
Min temperature.....64-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........36-56 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 15
mph after midnight.
PoP.................40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms through the
day. Haze in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 25
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 89. Southwest winds around 10 mph early in the
morning becoming light, then becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 91.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 83 to
91. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ110-160130-
Chinle Valley (Fire Weather Zone 110)-
Including the cities of Canyon De Chelly, Chinle, and Kayenta
146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Haze through the
night.
Min temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........37-57 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 10 to 20
mph after midnight.
PoP.................20 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....86-96.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
the afternoon.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ111-160130-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau (Fire Weather Zone 111)-
Including the cities of Window Rock and Ganado
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
and dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....84-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots increasing to north around
15 knots in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening. Haze after
midnight.
Min temperature.....57-66.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........44-64 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 20 to 30 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....80-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 3100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds becoming southwest
around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 77 to 87.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 76 to
86. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ139-160130-
Black Mesa Area (Fire Weather Zone 139)-
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-94.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........13 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening. Haze through the
night.
Min temperature.....62-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........38-58 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Haze
through the day. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms through the day.
Max temperature.....82-90.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph increasing to west 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 78 to 85. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 79 to 86. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 80 to 86. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ112-160130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County (Fire Weather
Zone 112)-
Including the cities of Wupatki N.M. and Tuba City
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Haze in the afternoon. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....92-101.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the evening.
Haze through the night.
Min temperature.....65-71.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........40-60 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance
of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-96.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 81 to 90. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs 85 to
93. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 86 to 94. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ113-160130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County (Fire Weather Zone
113)-
Including the cities of Winslow, Holbrook, and Snowflake
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /146 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Haze in the afternoon. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-99.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Excellent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Haze
in the evening. Chance of showers and slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....64-70.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........45-65 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....85-93.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................50 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Very good.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 81 to 89. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 92.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 84 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
$$
AZZ114-160130-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County (Fire Weather Zone
114)-
Including the cities of St. Johns and Springerville
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Haze in the afternoon. Slight
chance of dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-95.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers and slight chance of dry
thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....59-69.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........46-66 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-91.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs 79 to 88. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 82 to 89.
Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 81 to
88. Light winds. Gusts up to 15 mph in the afternoon.
$$
AZZ116-160130-
Eastern Mogollon Rim (Fire Weather Zone 116)-
Including the cities of Heber, Happy Jack, and Forest Lakes
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of rain showers and dry
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-91 below 5000 feet...80-90 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to west 15 to
25 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Haze
in the evening. Chance of rain showers and
slight chance of dry thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....53-63.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........80-100 percent below 5000 feet...67-87 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
20 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-88 below 5000 feet...76-85 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely.
Highs 75 to 85. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 77 to 87. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 78 to
88. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ117-160130-
White Mountains (Fire Weather Zone 117)-
Including the cities of Show Low, Greer, and Pinetop
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Dry
thunderstorms and rain showers likely in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....82-89 below 7000 feet...74-84 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........West 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 2000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
Max Ventilation.....Good.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of rain showers in the evening. Slight
chance of thunderstorms through the night.
Slight chance of rain showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....55-63 below 7000 feet...48-58 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........67-87 percent below 7000 feet...79-99 percent
above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. Haze in the
morning. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....79-85 below 7000 feet...71-81 above 7000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........North 5 to 15 mph.
PoP.................90 percent.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.
Max Ventilation.....Fair.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms and chance of showers.
Highs 74 to 84. Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 77 to 87. Light
winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming
mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs 77 to 87. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the
afternoon.
$$
AZZ118-160130-
Northern Gila County (Fire Weather Zone 118)-
Including the cities of Payson, Strawberry, and Young
1246 AM MST Tue Jul 15 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-100 below 5000 feet...85-93 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........19-24 percent.
24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 10
to 20 mph in the afternoon.
PoP.................30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
Min temperature.....62-72 below 5000 feet...52-62 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max humidity........59-79 percent below 5000 feet...78-98 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Free winds..........Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
PoP.................40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the morning, then rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....86-96 below 5000 feet...81-90 above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min humidity........20-30 percent below 5000 feet...24-34 percent
above 5000 feet.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Free winds..........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PoP.................60 percent.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds becoming west around
10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy early in the morning then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 97.
Light winds becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs 88 to 98. Light winds.
$$
.6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 20 - 24 2025...
Above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.
=
$$
VENTILATION...Transport wind and mixing height are based
on the following points.
ZONE 115...Williams.......6750 FT MSL.
ZONE 106...Tusayan........6606 FT MSL.
ZONE 108...Prescott.......5052 FT MSL.
ZONE 111...Window Rock....6739 FT MSL.
ZONE 113...Winslow........4883 FT MSL.
ZONE 117...Whiteriver.....5225 FT MSL.
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria
established by each state.
$$