349
FXUS64 KMOB 121126
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
626 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 108 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Now Through Friday...

An upper level ridge settles directly overhead this weekend through
early next week. This means we`re looking at a hot and humid
forecast alongside a diurnal pattern of isolated to scattered
storms. Afternoon highs get progressively warmer each afternoon as
the high settles overhead with mid to upper 90s expected early next
week - a few spots may even hit the century mark if storms hold off
until the late afternoon. Heat indices should remain below advisory
criteria through the weekend, but increasing moisture levels early
next week may spell trouble in terms of heat stress and Advisory
products may be necessary (depending on coverage of showers and
storms). The ridge aloft becomes less prominent as we roll deeper
into the week as an upper low or inverted trough slides westward
across the Florida peninsula and into the Gulf. Down at the surface,
a subtle surface low could develop and meander across the Gulf at
some point in the Tuesday through Thursday timeframe. At this point,
all this means is that we`re headed into more of an unsettled
pattern with higher rain chances.

Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW for the coastal
Alabama and northwest Florida beaches through the early to
potentially middle part of next week (depending on how the pattern
shapes up). The rip current probabilistic data is noting a bump to
MODERATE starting on Thursday of next week. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours.
Some very patchy fog has developed across portions of the area
early this morning, temporarily reducing visibilities to MVFR or
lower. This fog will dissipate in the next hour or so. Scattered
showers and storms will once again develop this afternoon across
the area. Expect brief reductions in visibilities and ceilings in
some of the heavier activity. Light northwesterly to westerly
winds this morning will turn southwesterly and increase to around
5 to 10 knots by the afternoon hours. Winds along the immediate
coast could increase up to 10 to 15 knots this afternoon. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 108 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. 07/mb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      92  74  94  73  95  74  97  74 /  40  10  40  10  50  10  50  30
Pensacola   92  77  94  77  95  77  96  77 /  40  10  30  10  40  20  50  40
Destin      93  80  93  80  95  81  95  80 /  40  10  30  10  40  20  60  50
Evergreen   95  72  96  73  97  74  97  73 /  30  20  30  10  30  10  30  30
Waynesboro  95  72  96  73  96  72  97  72 /  30  20  30  10  30  10  30  10
Camden      93  72  94  73  96  74  96  74 /  20  20  30  10  30  10  20  20
Crestview   94  73  96  73  97  74  97  74 /  50  10  50  10  50  10  60  40

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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