678
FXUS64 KLZK 212350
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
650 PM CDT Fri Mar 21 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Mar 21 2025

Latest surface observations indicate a breezy southwest flow across
most of the state. Above normal temperatures were in places. These
factors, combining with dry fuels and dry boundary layer conditions,
have contributed to a very high fire danger.  Red flag warnings
remain in effect through the afternoon.

A zonal flow will develop over the mid south during the second half
the period. A cold front will approach late in the period. Forecast
soundings suggest moderate instability, and modest shear will be in
place across mainly southern sections of the forecast area when the
front arrives on Sunday, with strong convection developing
accordingly. All precipitation will move southeast of the area by
late evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Mar 21 2025

Much of this period will have surface high pressure across the
mid Mississippi River valley and mid south in place. Dry and warm
conditions are expected for much of this period.

Above normal daytime temperatures will in place throughout the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 PM CDT Fri Mar 21 2025

High pressure will dominate for the majority of the period with
decreasing winds this evening and overall VFR conditions. Winds
will turn back to the SE on Saturday as the high moves off to the
east.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     43  71  56  72 /   0   0  40  70
Camden AR         45  77  57  80 /   0   0   0  50
Harrison AR       40  70  54  71 /   0   0  50  40
Hot Springs AR    43  75  57  76 /   0   0  10  60
Little Rock   AR  45  74  57  75 /   0   0  20  70
Monticello AR     48  76  59  79 /   0   0   0  60
Mount Ida AR      42  75  58  77 /   0   0  10  60
Mountain Home AR  40  70  55  72 /   0   0  50  50
Newport AR        43  70  55  72 /   0   0  30  80
Pine Bluff AR     46  75  58  78 /   0   0  10  70
Russellville AR   41  75  57  75 /   0   0  30  60
Searcy AR         41  72  54  73 /   0   0  20  70
Stuttgart AR      45  72  57  76 /   0   0  10  70

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>008-
014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-
138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55