000
FXUS63 KGID 202357
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
557 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2026

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near critical fire weather conditions this afternoon mainly
  from Dawson County south to Furnas County.

- Near critical to brief critical fire weather conditions
  Wednesday afternoon mainly along and west of Highway 183.

- Much colder beginning Friday with high temperatures in the
  single digits to teens.

- Wind chills may get down to around -20 to -25 degrees Friday
  morning and Saturday morning across portions of the area.

- Snow may impact the area Friday and Saturday although there is
  high uncertainty in regards to snowfall amounts.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 128 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2026

Today through tonight...

A big upper trough is over most of the country with an upper ridge
over the West Coast. A surface trough is centered over eastern
Colorado and extends into Nebraska and Kansas. Winds across south
central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas are out of the
south to southwest at around 10 mph with gusts up to around 20-25
mph. Minimum relative humidity values this afternoon may get down to
around 20% to 25% from Dawson County south to Furnas County. This
may create near critical fire weather conditions this afternoon
across this area. High temperatures this afternoon are expected to
range from the upper 38s across far northeast portions of the
forecast area to the low to mid 50s across western and southern
portions of the forecast area. A northwest wind shift with increased
winds is expected to move into area area this evening into tonight.
Enhanced upper lift may also accompany this wind shift. This may
result in brief, light snow showers across portions of the area this
evening. Winds will become westerly and weaken later in the night
with low temperatures in the teens and 20s.

Wednesday through Wednesday night...

Winds across south central and central Nebraska and north central
Kansas will initially increase out of the southwest to west on
Wednesday at 15 to 30 mph sustained with gusts possibly up to 25 to
45 mph. Winds will then briefly increase out of the northwest then
will weaken by the evening out of the north. Humidity values
generally along and west of Highway 183 Wednesday afternoon will get
down to around 20% to 25%. This may lead to near critical to
critical fire weather conditions. High temperatures on Wednesday are
expected to warm up into the 40s and 50s. Low temperatures Wednesday
night will generally range from around 10 to 19 degrees with light
and variable winds.

Thursday through Saturday night...

A cold front with northerly winds will begin pushing into the area
on Thursday. High temperatures on Thursday are expected to mainly be
in the 30s. The cold front will continue pushing through the area
Thursday night with temperatures dropping into the positive to
negative single digits. Wind chills of around -10 to near -25
degrees will be possible Thursday night into Friday morning. The
cold air will continue to impact the area with high temperatures on
Friday ranging only from the single digits to teens. Winds will
become more southerly Friday night with low temperatures in the
negative single digits. Wind chills Friday night will mostly be in
the negative teens and -20 to near -25 degrees in some spots. There
is quite a bit of uncertainty on high temperatures for Saturday
depending on the location of the surface high. At this time,
expecting highs to be around 10 to 17 degrees on Saturday. There is
some uncertainty in regards to low temperatures Saturday night, but
at this time, expecting lows to be in the negative single digits. A
few isolated locations could have wind chills as low as -20 Saturday
night but mostly expect wind chills in the negative teens. A storm
system may impact the area with snow Friday and Saturday although
there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with regards to snowfall
amounts.

Sunday through Monday night...

Generally expect temperatures to increase Sunday and Monday although
there remains quite a bit of uncertainty. This same trend is
expected for low temperatures Sunday night and Monday night. At this
time, expecting Sunday and Monday to be dry.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 529 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Mainly VFR conditions through the period with a small shot for
some light snow and MVFR CIGS from roughly 21/03Z-21/07Z.

Expect CIGS to lower this evening as a cold front approaches
from the north. Expect winds to gradually shift and increase out
of the NNW over the next few hours, with gusts to 20 KTS+
behind this front along with a small chance for a light snow
shower/flurry along with CIGS as low as 2KFT. Skies will then
eventually clear during the overnight hours, with winds
increasing substantially out of the WNW on Wednesday as a
secondary front, with a strong push of winds, makes its way
across the area during the afternoon hours. Little cloud cover
and no shower activity is expected with this front locally, but
winds could gust to 30 KT+ during the afternoon hours.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Rossi