Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
831
FNAK52 PAFG 042139
FWFWCZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 928...
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions continue through the Western region into
Saturday, with temperatures reaching the 70s and low 80s, along
with RH diminishing into the 20s. The Lower Yukon Valley will be a
bit more humid, with min RH values in the upper 40s and 50s.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Saturday along the foot of
the Central Brooks Range and the Lower/Middle Yukon Valleys west
to Norton Sound. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible
across the Central and Southern Seward Peninsula this
afternoon, especially over higher terrain. Without considering
gusty outflow winds from thunderstorms, winds will generally be
light in most of Western Alaska, although higher northerly winds
of 10 to 15 mph remain possible from Seward Peninsula, the Lower
Yukon Valley, and YK Delta into Sunday. Moister conditions are
expected everywhere on Sunday, with min RH values rising
considerably in most areas. By Monday we anticipate wetter and
cooler conditions, with isolated to scattered showers possible.
AKZ913-051545-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 10 30 30 50
CWR 5 10 10 10
Tstm Coverage Isolated Widely Sct Widely Sct Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend) 52-62 (+1) 82-92 (+2) 53-63 77-87
RH % (24h trend) 69-84 (+5) 22-36 (+1) 74-89 23-37
20ftWnd(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph) NE 7 E 8 NE 8 NE 8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 400 9100 100 8300
Vent rate (mph-ft) 2800 72800 800 66400
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 74 to 84. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 35 to 45. Highs
64 to 74. North winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 29 to 39.
Highs 58 to 68. North winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ914-051545-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip type None None none Tstms
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 30
CWR 0 0 0 10
Tstm Coverage None None None Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend) 54-64 (-3) 78-88 (+4) 56-66 76-86
RH % (24h trend) 71-86 (+10) 21-36 (-6) 71-86 22-37
20ftWnd(mph) W 6-10 G20 E 3-7 G17 SW 3-7 G19 SW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph) N 9 E 8 NE 8 W 9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 7300 200 7100
Vent rate (mph-ft) 2700 58400 1600 63900
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 71 to 81. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 36 to 46. Highs
57 to 67. North winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 54 to 64. North
winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ916-051545-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip type None None None Tstms
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 20
CWR 0 0 0 5
Tstm Coverage None None None Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend) 47-57 (-3) 79-89 (+4) 49-59 76-86
RH % (24h trend) 80-95 (+4) 27-42 (-5) 81-96 32-47
20ftWnd(mph) W 8-12 G22 W 4-8 G19 W 7-11 G21 W 4-8 G18
Transport wnd (mph) NW 9 W 8 NW 8 W 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 7100 200 3800
Vent rate (mph-ft) 2700 56800 1600 38000
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers. Lows 47 to 57.
Highs 71 to 81. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
59 to 69. Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 56 to 66.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ918-051545-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 10 10 10 20
CWR 5 5 5 5
Tstm Coverage Isolated Isolated Isolated Isolated
Temp (24h trend) 46-56 (-3) 76-86 (+3) 48-58 71-81
RH % (24h trend) 79-94 (-1) 31-46 (-3) 80-95 40-55
20ftWnd(mph) N 7-11 G21 NW 7-11 G22 NW 7-11 G22 NW 6-10 G21
Transport wnd (mph) NW 10 N 14 NW 10 NW 15
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 400 3000 300 2000
Vent rate (mph-ft) 4000 42000 3000 30000
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers. Lows 47 to 57.
Highs 66 to 76. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 55 to 65. West
winds around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 51 to 61.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ919-051545-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip type None None None Tstms
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 40
CWR 0 0 0 10
Tstm Coverage None None None Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend) 54-64 (0) 83-93 (+1) 54-64 78-88
RH % (24h trend) 74-89 (+1) 22-34 (-4) 75-90 25-40
20ftWnd(mph) NW 3-7 G17 E 4-8 G19 E 3-7 G18 SE 3-7
Transport wnd (mph) NW 6 E 13 NE 7 NE 8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 9600 200 10000
Vent rate (mph-ft) 1800 124800 1400 80000
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 75 to 85. West winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 43 to 51. Highs 65 to 75. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 33 to 43.
Highs 59 to 69. Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ923-051545-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance precip (%) 10 10 20 20
CWR 5 5 5 0
Tstm Coverage Isolated Isolated Isolated None
Temp (24h trend) 47-57 (0) 73-83 (+3) 47-57 70-80
RH % (24h trend) 75-90 (-8) 29-44 (-4) 76-91 38-53
20ftWnd(mph) NE 6-10 G22 N 8-12 G23 N 9-13 G24 NW 5-9 G20
Transport wnd (mph) N 13 N 17 N 10 N 15
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 3600 200 3100
Vent rate (mph-ft) 3900 61200 2000 46500
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs
69 to 79. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 54 to 64.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 27 to 37. Highs 50 to 60.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ924-051545-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 30 50 50 40
CWR 10 10 30 20
Tstm Coverage Isolated Widely Sct Widely Sct Isolated
Temp (24h trend) 52-62 (+3) 73-83 (+3) 51-61 71-81
RH % (24h trend) 82-97 (-6) 30-45 (+1) 84-99 ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph) NE 3-7 G17 NE 4-8 G20 SE 3-7 G19 W 6-10 G21
Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 E 10 W 10 W 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 5200 300 3800
Vent rate (mph-ft) 3000 52000 3000 45600
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 68 to 78. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 42 to 52. Highs 56 to 66. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 35 to 45. Highs 53 to 63.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ925-051545-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 0 40 50 50
CWR 0 10 10 40
Tstm Coverage None Isolated Isolated Isolated
Temp (24h trend) 49-57 (+1) 65-75 (+2) 48-58 61-71
RH % (24h trend) 86-97 (+2) ABV 40 (+3) 91-99 ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph) E 8-12 G24 E 4-8 G19 SE 3-7 G17 SW 7-11 G23
Transport wnd (mph) NE 8 E 9 S 9 W 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 200 4300 100 2100
Vent rate (mph-ft) 1600 38700 900 27300
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 45 to 54.
Highs 61 to 71. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 52. Highs 55 to 65. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 42 to 49. Highs 51 to 61.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
AKZ926-051545-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 20 50 60 60
CWR 5 10 20 50
Tstm Coverage Isolated Widely Sct Widely Sct Isolated
Temp (24h trend) 52-58 (+3) 66-76 (+2) 50-57 60-68
RH % (24h trend) 78-93 (+2) ABV 40 (+5) 86-97 ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph) E 6-10 G21 S 3-7 SE 4-8 G18 SW 6-10 G23
Transport wnd (mph) NW 6 SE 10 SW 10 SW 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 200 5200 300 2000
Vent rate (mph-ft) 1200 52000 3000 28000
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 47 to 53. Highs
59 to 69. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 46 to 53.
Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 40 to 47. Highs 55 to 65.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
AKZ928-051545-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM AKDT
SUNDAY...
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 10 20 20 40
CWR 5 5 10 10
Tstm Coverage Isolated Isolated Isolated Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend) 54-64 (+1) 82-92 (+3) 55-65 78-88
RH % (24h trend) 72-87 (-1) 20-35 (-6) 74-89 28-43
20ftWnd(mph) N 4-8 G18 E 7-11 G21 E 5-9 G20 E 6-10 G20
Transport wnd (mph) N 9 E 13 NE 8 E 8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 9800 200 9500
Vent rate (mph-ft) 2700 127400 1600 76000
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Haze. Areas of smoke. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 75 to
85. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 61 to 71. West winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 56 to 66. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
AKZ929-051545-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 20 40 40 40
CWR 10 10 20 20
Tstm Coverage Isolated Widely Sct Widely Sct Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend) 55-65 (+4) 77-87 (+2) 50-60 72-82
RH % (24h trend) 79-94 (-16) 25-40 (0) 83-98 ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph) NE 3-7 E 3-7 G17 SE 4-8 G18 SW 6-10 G19
Transport wnd (mph) NE 9 E 10 SW 8 SW 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 9900 200 4800
Vent rate (mph-ft) 2700 99000 1600 48000
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 68 to 78. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 62 to 72. West winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34 to 44.
Highs 57 to 67. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
AKZ930-051545-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 30 50 60 60
CWR 10 10 50 50
Tstm Coverage Isolated Widely Sct Widely Sct Isolated
Temp (24h trend) 51-61 (+3) 74-84 (+2) 47-57 66-76
RH % (24h trend) 80-95 (0) 37-52 (+8) 84-99 ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph) Lgt/Var S 4-8 G18 SW 5-9 G21 SW 6-10 G21
Transport wnd (mph) N 6 S 7 SW 9 SW 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 5500 300 4800
Vent rate (mph-ft) 1800 38500 2700 62400
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 65 to 75. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 61 to 71. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 36 to 46.
Highs 56 to 66. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
AKZ951-051545-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip type Showers Showers Showers Showers
Chance precip (%) 20 60 60 50
CWR 0 0 40 20
Tstm Coverage None None None None
Temp (24h trend) 45-55 (+2) 70-80 (0) 43-53 59-69
RH % (24h trend) 81-96 (-3) ABV 40 (+8) 82-97 40-55
20ftWnd(mph) E 4-8 G17 SE 4-8 G22 SE 7-11 G22 SW 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph) SE 7 S 10 S 12 SW 8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 4400 500 4600
Vent rate (mph-ft) 2100 44000 6000 36800
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 40 to 50.
Highs 61 to 71. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Numerous showers. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 59 to 69.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Numerous showers. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 58 to 68.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
AKZ952-051545-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
139 PM AKDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance precip (%) 20 50 70 50
CWR 0 10 60 30
Tstm Coverage None Isolated Isolated Isolated
Temp (24h trend) 50-60 (+1) 75-85 (+1) 46-56 66-76
RH % (24h trend) 81-96 (-7) 36-51 (+5) 85-100 ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 S 4-8 G21 Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph) E 5 S 7 SW 8 SW 9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 300 5300 400 4900
Vent rate (mph-ft) 1500 37100 3200 44100
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52.
Highs 61 to 71. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs
60 to 70. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 37 to 47.
Highs 58 to 68. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
amp Jul 25