Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 302128
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks, AK
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Key Messages...
- A warming trend is expected to continue across the Western
  Interior through Saturday with highs reaching in the mid 70s to
  near 80.

- Winds will mostly be out of the west/southwest over the next
  couple of days.

- Chances of rain showers are largely confined to the outer coast and
  the Western Brooks Range through Saturday.

- By Sunday and the beginning of next week, a low from the Bering
  is expected to approach, bringing southwest flow and the potential
  for quite a bit of precipitation into the start of the week.

AKZ913-311530-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including the city of Walker Lake
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy (80%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           60           50           70
CWR                   20           20           20           20
CWR25                 0            10           0            10
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      45 (+4)      63 (+9)      47           65
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+2)      64 (-13)     95           59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8 G19    S 3-7 G18    S 3-7 G19    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G20   Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    300          2800         300          3500
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S 12         S  6         SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2100         33600        1800         45500

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ914-311530-
Noatak Valley-
Including the cities of Noatak and Red Dog Mine
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           90           70
CWR                   40           90           30           40
CWR25                 10           10           10           10
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      45 (+3)      59 (+6)      46           60
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     75 (-10)     97           67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 5-9 G21    S 6-10 G26   S 4-8 G20    S 3-7 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 4-8 G24    S 7-11 G25   Lgt/Var      SW 5-9 G20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    500          2200         400          2800
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 10         S 13         S  7         SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    5000         28600        2800         36400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ916-311530-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including the cities of Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           40           20           30
CWR                   20           10           10           10
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      50 (+3)      68 (+7)      52           68
RH % (24h trend)      95 (-1)      60 (-11)     92           59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        S 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7        S 3-7        Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          3200         400          2600
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S  7         SE  7        SW  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2800         22400        2800         20800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-311530-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including the cities of Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy (80%)  Mcldy (80%)  Mcldy (80%)  Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           30           20           40
CWR                   10           10           10           10
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      45 (+1)      69 (+8)      48           72
RH % (24h trend)      96 (-1)      52 (-12)     93           50
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    300          3400         300          2500
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         SW  7        E  6         SW  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         23800        1800         17500

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ923-311530-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including the cities of Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)  Mcldy (90%)
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           40           20           30
CWR                   10           10           10           10
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      42 (-1)      64 (+8)      43           64
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+3)     61 (-15)     98           57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 7-11 G24   S 4-8 G20    S 3-7 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G23    S 5-9 G19    Lgt/Var      SW 4-8 G17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    500          3200         300          3000
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  9         S  9         SW  6        SW  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    4500         28800        1800         27000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs around 60. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ926-311530-
Lower Yukon River-
Including the cities of Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station,
and Marshall
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy (70%)  Pcldy (60%)  Mcldy (80%)  Mcldy (80%)
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            30           30
CWR                   0            0            10           10
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      46 (+2)      72 (+10)     50           66
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+3)      47 (-14)     91           62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    300          4600         400          2700
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  5         SE  9        SW  6        SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1500         41400        2400         27000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ928-311530-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including the cities of Huslia and Hughes
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy (70%)  Mcldy (70%)  Mcldy (70%)  Mcldy (80%)
Precip Type           Showers      None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           0            10           40
CWR                   0            0            0            10
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      47 (+1)      71 (+9)      50           74
RH % (24h trend)      93 (+5)      46 (-13)     88           46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    300          4200         300          3300
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        SW  7        SE  6        SW  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1800         29400        1800         26400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows around 50. Highs in
the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ929-311530-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including the cities of Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy (60%)  Pcldy (60%)  Pcldy (60%)  Pcldy (60%)
Precip Type           Showers      None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           0            10           30
CWR                   0            0            0            10
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      45 (0)       74 (+11)     50           75
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+7)      43 (-15)     86           44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    400          5100         400          5000
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        SW  7        E  6         SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    2000         35700        2400         50000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ930-311530-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including the cities of Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy (40%)  Pcldy (50%)  Pcldy (60%)  Pcldy (60%)
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            10           20
CWR                   0            0            0            10
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      46 (+1)      76 (+10)     51           72
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+6)      41 (-9)      87           49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    300          5500         400          4300
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  5         S  8         E  6         SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1500         44000        2400         43000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows around 50. Highs around 60. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ951-311530-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including the city of Farewell Lake
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear (20%) Mclear (20%) Mclear (30%) Pcldy (30%)
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
CWR                   0            0            0            0
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      44 (-2)      78 (+9)      49           77
RH % (24h trend)      80 (+3)      37 (-2)      80           42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    300          5000         300          4900
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  5        W  7         S  7         W  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1500         35000        2100         39200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

AKZ952-311530-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including the cities of McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
128 PM AKDT Thu Jul 30 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear (20%) Mclear (30%) Pcldy (40%)  Mclear (30%)
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
CWR                   0            0            0            0
CWR25                 0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) None (0)     None (0)     None (0)     None (0)
Temp (24h trend)      44 (-1)      79 (+8)      50           79
RH % (24h trend)      91 (+6)      34 (-5)      83           39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    300          5600         400          5500
Transport Wnd (mph)   N  5         S  7         SE  6        SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    1500         39200        2400         55000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$