Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 032258
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 919 AND
928...

.DISCUSSION...
Red Flag Warnings will continue for the Upper Kobuk and Lower
Koyukuk for hot/dry/windy conditions through 10 PM tonight.
Temperatures stay hot through Saturday with widespread readings in
the mid 80s north of Kaltag and low to mid 70s south of Kaltag.
The coastal areas will be in the mid 60s to mid 70s. The minimum
RH values will follow a similar pattern with areas north of Kaltag
in the low to mid 20s to mid 30s, and south of Kaltag in the 40s
and 50s. Winds are expected to be light with the exception of in
the Kobuk/Koyukuk Valley on Thursday when gusts may be as high as
25 mph. Most of the winds will be from the east with the exception
of the Coastal areas receiving Sea Breeze effects.

Thunderstorm chances are expected from the Nulato Hills to the
tip of the Seward Peninsula with an isolated storms as far south
as Russian Mission. There could be widely scattered thunderstorms
due to orographic lift in the terrain north and west of Nome.
Isolated storms continue to be possible from Ruby/Huslia to the
Seward Peninsula tomorrow afternoon, then cover a bit more area in
the Western Interior on Saturday.

AKZ913-041700-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            20
CWR                   10           0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      53-63 (-2)   82-92 (+5)   57-66        82-92
RH % (24h trend)      60-75 (-5)   13-28 (-7)   61-76        17-32
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 3-7       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  6        E  6         NE  7        E  7
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          7000         100          9900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    1800         42000        700          69300

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Haze. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 80 to 90. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Scattered showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 75 to 85. North
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 41 to 51. Highs
68 to 78. North winds around 20 mph.

$$

AKZ914-041700-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            20
CWR                   10           0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      52-62 (-1)   81-91 (0)    49-59        80-90
RH % (24h trend)      65-80 (-1)   12-27 (0)    63-78        16-31
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 4-8 G18   SW 3-7 G17   W 3-7        N 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  7        SW  8        N  8         E  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          6000         200          7100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2100         48000        1600         56800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Haze. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 79 to 89. North winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Scattered showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 70 to 80. North
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
61 to 71. North winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ916-041700-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
CWR                   0            0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      52-62 (-3)   79-89 (0)    46-56        80-90
RH % (24h trend)      76-91 (0)    26-41 (+14)  74-89        23-38
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 5-9 G18   W 4-8 G18    W 6-10 G19   W 3-7 G18
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7         W  9         NW  9        W  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          3200         200          6100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2100         28800        1800         48800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Haze. Lows 49 to 59.
Highs 78 to 88. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 70 to 80. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs
62 to 72. Northwest winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ918-041700-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            10           10           20
CWR                   0            5            5            5
Tstm Coverage         None         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      48-58 (0)    78-88 (+1)   45-55        75-85
RH % (24h trend)      76-91 (0)    33-48 (+12)  73-88        33-48
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 6-10 G20  Lgt/Var      N 5-9 G20    NW 7-11 G22
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10         N  9         NW  9        N 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          3900         300          2200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    3000         35100        2700         28600

Remarks...Isolated storms possible, south of Deering and Buckland.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Haze. Lows 47 to 57.
Highs 72 to 82. Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers. Lows 48 to 58.
Highs 65 to 75. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs
58 to 68. West winds around 20 mph.

$$

AKZ919-041700-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
CWR                   0            0            0            0
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      54-64 (-3)   82-92 (+4)   57-66        83-93
RH % (24h trend)      64-79 (-3)   17-32 (+3)   68-83        20-35
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 5-9 G20   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  7        E  7         NW  6        E  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          6700         100          9300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2100         46900        600          83700

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Haze. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 81 to 91. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Scattered showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 76 to 86. West
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 45 to 53. Highs 69 to 79. Northwest winds
around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ923-041700-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20           30
CWR                   10           5            10           5
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      50-58 (-2)   76-86 (0)    50-59        76-86
RH % (24h trend)      81-96 (+5)   34-49 (+1)   71-86        32-47
20ftWnd(mph)          S 5-9 G19    Lgt/Var      N 4-8 G19    N 8-12 G22
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9         NE  7        N 12         N 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          5400         200          2600
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2700         37800        2400         36400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 50 to 60. Highs
72 to 82. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54. Highs
66 to 76. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 38 to 48. Highs
59 to 69. Northwest winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ924-041700-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           30           60
CWR                   10           5            10           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      49-56 (-3)   75-85 (+3)   53-60        75-85
RH % (24h trend)      79-94 (+4)   36-51 (-2)   79-94        33-48
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7 G17   N 3-7        N 4-8 G17    N 4-8 G20
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7         NE  9        N  9         NE 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          4200         200          4700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2800         37800        1800         56400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 60. Highs 71 to 81. West winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 48 to 58.
Highs 65 to 75. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 46 to 55. Highs
59 to 69. West winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ925-041700-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            20           40
CWR                   0            0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      49-55 (+1)   66-76 (+1)   50-56        64-74
RH % (24h trend)      82-96 (-3)   ABV 40 (-5)  84-93        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 5-9 G20   E 6-10 G20   E 6-10 G22   NE 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9        E 17         NE  9        NE  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          4700         100          4600
Vent rate (mph-ft)    3600         79900        900          41400

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms north and east of Mountain Village.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 57. Highs 61 to 71. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 47 to 55.
Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 45 to 53. Highs
57 to 67. West winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ926-041700-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           0            20           40
CWR                   0            0            0            20
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      50 (0)       63-73 (0)    52           64-74
RH % (24h trend)      75-90 (-2)   ABV 40 (-7)  80-90        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 4-8 G18   E 5-9 G20    E 3-7 G19    Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10        E 15         N  6         S  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          4900         100          5500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    4000         73500        600          44000

Remarks...Thunderstorms staying north of the Yukon River.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 57. Highs 61 to 71. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 48 to 54. Highs
58 to 68. South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 48 to 54. Highs
58 to 68. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ928-041700-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           10           10           20
CWR                   5            5            10           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      53-63 (-1)   81-91 (+1)   55-65        82-92
RH % (24h trend)      74-89 (+6)   23-38 (+9)   68-83        22-37
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var      N 3-7        NE 5-9 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7        NE  8        N  9         E 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          6700         100          10100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2100         53600        900          141400

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms west of the Yukon River tonight,
south of Huslia tomorrow then possible anywhere on Saturday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Haze. Lows 55 to 64. Highs 80 to 90. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Haze. Scattered showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 72 to 82. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 66 to 76. West winds around
15 mph.

$$

AKZ929-041700-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20           40
CWR                   5            5            10           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      52-62 (-1)   78-88 (+1)   56-66        78-88
RH % (24h trend)      81-96 (+10)  24-39 (-2)   75-90        23-38
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7 G17   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8        E  8         NE  8        E 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          6500         100          10100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    3200         52000        800          101000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Haze. Lows 52 to 62. Highs 73 to 83. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 65 to 75. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 64 to 74. West winds around
10 mph.

$$

AKZ930-041700-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           30           50
CWR                   5            5            10           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      51-58 (-1)   76-86 (+1)   53-63        73-83
RH % (24h trend)      79-94 (+2)   33-48 (-7)   78-93        35-50
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6         E  9         N  7         SW  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    300          5600         200          7400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    1800         50400        1400         66600

Remarks...Isolated storms mostly from Anvik north.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 67 to 77. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54. Highs
61 to 71. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 63 to 73. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ951-041700-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Showers      None         Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            20           50
CWR                   0            0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      40-50 (-1)   75-85 (+4)   44-54        70-80
RH % (24h trend)      72-87 (+2)   26-41 (-5)   73-88        33-48
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7         E  9         S  9         SW  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          5800         100          3800
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2800         52200        900          30400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 65 to 75. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 40 to 50.
Highs 60 to 70. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 40 to 50.
Highs 60 to 70. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ952-041700-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
258 PM AKDT Thu Jul 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           30           40
CWR                   0            0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      51-58 (+1)   76-86 (+2)   51-61        72-82
RH % (24h trend)      82-97 (+2)   32-47 (-3)   79-94        37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6        E  8         SW  7        SW  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          5900         100          6900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2400         47200        700          62100

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 56. Highs 66 to 76. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs
61 to 71. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 44 to 54.
Highs 61 to 71. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$