Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 050822 CCA
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 928...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions continue through the Western Interior
Saturday, with temperatures reaching the 70s and low 80s, along
with RHs diminishing into the 20s. The Lower Yukon Valley will be
a bit more humid, with min RH values in the upper 40s and 50s.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Saturday along the foot of
the Central Brooks Range and the Lower/Middle Yukon Valleys west
to Norton Sound. Without considering gusty outflow winds from
thunderstorms, winds will generally be light in most of Western
Alaska, although higher northerly winds of 10 to 15 mph remain
possible over the Seward Peninsula, and southerly winds over the
Lower Yukon Valley and YK Delta, into Sunday. Moister conditions
are expected everywhere on Sunday, with min RH values rising
considerably in most areas. By Monday we anticipate wetter and
cooler conditions, with isolated to scattered showers possible.

AKZ913-060230-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           30
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      82-92 (+2)   52-62 (+1)   79-89
RH % (24h trend)      22-36 (+1)   71-86 (+3)   24-39
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9         NE  9        NE  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8100         200          8300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    72900        1800         66400

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms Saturday in northern
areas and Sunday in southern areas.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 75 to 85. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 61 to 71. North winds around
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 29 to 39. Highs 57 to 67.
Northeast winds around 20 mph.

$$

AKZ914-060230-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            10
CWR                   0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         None         None         Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      78-88 (+4)   56-66 (+3)   78-88
RH % (24h trend)      21-36 (-6)   70-85 (-10)  23-38
20ftWnd(mph)          E 3-7 G21    SW 3-7 G24   SW 3-7 G20
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9         NE 12        N  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6700         100          7000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    60300        1200         63000

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms Sunday in eastern areas.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 71 to 81. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 35 to 45. Highs
56 to 66. North winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 30 to 40. Highs 54 to 64.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ916-060230-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            10
CWR                   0            0            5
Tstm Coverage         None         None         Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      79-89 (+4)   47-57 (+2)   78-88
RH % (24h trend)      28-43 (-5)   81-96 (-2)   32-47
20ftWnd(mph)          W 4-8 G17    W 7-11 G20   W 4-8 G18
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8         NW  8        NW 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    6100         200          4000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    48800        1600         40000

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms Sunday east of Noorvik.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 71 to 81. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
57 to 67. North winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 55 to 65. North
winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ918-060230-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            10           10
CWR                   5            5            5
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      76-86 (+3)   48-58 (+1)   72-82
RH % (24h trend)      30-45 (-3)   79-94 (0)    37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 7-11 G25  NW 7-11 G26  NW 6-10 G24
Transport wnd (mph)   N 15         NW 12        NW 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    2900         300          2000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    43500        3600         26000

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday in eastern
areas.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 66 to 76.
West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 53 to 63.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 52 to 62.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ919-060230-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
CWR                   0            0            10
Tstm Coverage         None         None         Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      83-93 (+1)   53-63 (+2)   81-91
RH % (24h trend)      21-35 (-4)   71-86 (+6)   24-39
20ftWnd(mph)          E 4-8 G18    E 3-7 G18    SE 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   E 12         NE  6        NE  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8500         200          9300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    102000       1200         83700

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 76 to 86. West winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 63 to 73. North winds around
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 34 to 42.
Highs 59 to 69. North winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ923-060230-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance precip (%)     10           10           0
CWR                   5            5            0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     None
Temp (24h trend)      73-83 (+3)   46-56 (0)    72-82
RH % (24h trend)      29-44 (-4)   72-87 (0)    37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          N 8-12 G26   N 9-13 G27   NW 5-9 G27
Transport wnd (mph)   N 17         N 13         N 15
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3300         200          3100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    56100        2600         46500

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms Saturday in eastern areas.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 67 to 77. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 33 to 43. Highs 54 to 64.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 29 to 39. Highs 53 to 63.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ924-060230-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           30
CWR                   10           30           20
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      73-83 (+3)   51-61 (0)    72-82
RH % (24h trend)      30-45 (+1)   83-98 (+6)   39-54
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 4-8 G21   SE 3-7 G20   W 6-10 G21
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 10        NW  9        SW 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4400         200          3500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    44000        1800         45500

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms Saturday south of
Shaktoolik.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
47 to 57. Highs 67 to 77. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows 44 to 53.
Highs 57 to 67. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 47. Highs 56 to 66. North
winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ925-060230-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           40           40
CWR                   10           10           40
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      65-75 (+2)   47-57 (0)    62-72
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (+3)  89-99 (+4)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          E 4-8 G17    SE 3-7 G18   SW 7-11 G25
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9         SW  9        SW 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4900         100          3000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    44100        900          42000

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms Saturday near the mouth of the
Yukon River and Sunday morning over eastern areas.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 45 to 54. Highs
61 to 71. South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 45 to 52. Highs 56 to 66.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 44 to 50. Highs 55 to 65. North
winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ926-060230-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           60           60
CWR                   10           20           50
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      66-76 (+2)   49-57 (0)    58-68
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (+5)  85-96 (+6)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 3-7 G20    SE 4-8 G19   SW 6-10 G25
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  8        SW 13        SW 16
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5300         200          2200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    42400        2600         35200

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms Saturday over northern
areas, with isolated thunderstorms elsewhere north of Mountain
Village ending Sunday morning.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 47 to 54.
Highs 60 to 70. South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 47 to 54. Highs 58 to 68. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 43 to 50. Highs 57 to 67.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ928-060230-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
AKDT SUNDAY...

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           10           20
CWR                   5            10           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      82-92 (+3)   54-64 (0)    81-91
RH % (24h trend)      20-35 (-6)   71-86 (+3)   25-40
20ftWnd(mph)          E 7-11 G21   E 5-9 G21    E 6-10 G22
Transport wnd (mph)   E 13         NE  9        SE 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8900         200          8900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    115700       1800         89000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Haze. Areas of smoke. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 75 to
85. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 61 to 71. Northwest winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 35 to 45.
Highs 57 to 67. North winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ929-060230-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           20
CWR                   10           20           20
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      77-87 (+2)   49-59 (-2)   70-80
RH % (24h trend)      25-40 (0)    84-99 (+19)  ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          E 3-7 G20    SE 4-8 G19   SW 6-10 G20
Transport wnd (mph)   E 10         SW  8        S 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8300         200          4200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    83000        1600         54600

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms Sunday from Galena
north.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 69 to 79. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 63 to 73. West winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 36 to 46.
Highs 58 to 68. North winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ930-060230-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           60           60
CWR                   10           50           50
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      74-84 (+2)   46-56 (-2)   64-74
RH % (24h trend)      36-51 (+8)   84-99 (+9)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 4-8 G19    SW 5-9 G21   SW 6-10 G23
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6         SW  8        SW 15
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5700         300          3700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    34200        2400         55500

Remarks...Widely scattered thunderstorms Saturday north of
Shageluk and Sunday in northwestern areas.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 66 to 76. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 46 to 56.
Highs 62 to 72. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 41 to 51.
Highs 57 to 67. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ951-060230-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     40           60           40
CWR                   0            40           20
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      70-80 (0)    43-53 (-3)   61-71
RH % (24h trend)      37-52 (+8)   81-96 (+10)  ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SE 4-8 G17   SE 7-11 G21  SW 3-7 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7         S 12         W  7
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4000         400          4000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    28000        4800         28000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 41 to 51.
Highs 59 to 69. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Numerous showers. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 58 to 68.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Numerous showers. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 56 to 66.
South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ952-060230-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
1222 AM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           70           50
CWR                   10           60           30
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      75-85 (+1)   45-55 (-3)   63-73
RH % (24h trend)      35-50 (+5)   85-100 (+13) ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 3-7        S 4-8 G19    Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6         SW  8        SW  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5600         300          4200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    33600        2400         37800

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms Sunday morning will be a
continuation of earlier storms.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52.
Highs 60 to 70. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 45 to 55.
Highs 61 to 71. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52.
Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$