531
FXUS65 KVEF 120535
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1035 PM PDT Fri Sep 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

*  Breezy south-southwesterly wind gusts expected across the region
   Friday through the weekend. Continued dry conditions with these
   winds will lead to fire danger.

*  Temperatures cool through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Thursday

After hazardously hot conditions from a strong high pressure, the
pattern finally changes into Saturday. A trough is deepening over the
Pacific Northwest and push inland and south into Saturday. This will
help shift the the high pressure eastward, but the space between
these systems will narrow, leading to a stronger pressure gradient
and increasing winds. Breezy winds build through Saturday morning
and will peak that afternoon with widespread gusts above 30 mph
possible and above 40 mph in higher terrain and within favored gaps
and passes. This coupled with very dry conditions will increase fire
weather concerns. Fire Red Flag Warning will go in effect at 11 AM
for Esmeralda, Nye, and portions of Lincoln and Clark counties and
will last into late Saturday night. Winds look to reduce for Sunday
but remain breezy. Longer term models keep breezy winds peaking
around 25 mph each afternoon into the first half of next week, but
winds look to ease in the late week.

As the high pressure pushes east and focuses over Texas,
temperatures (both highs and lows) will begin to decrease through
the weekend. High temps will fall back to around average (90s to
low 100s) before the work week. Low temperatures will see some
reduction, but will plateau in the early work week, and stay
around 5 degrees above average.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...
Southwest winds around 10 knots are expected through the overnight
period with occasional gusts to around 20 knots possible at times.
Southwest winds will once again increase after 18Z with sustained
winds 10-15 knots with gusts 20-25 knots into Saturday evening. VFR
conditions will persist through the TAF period. Temperatures will
once again exceed 100 degrees Saturday from 19Z to 02Z.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Southwest to west winds
are expected to persist overnight with most areas seeing wind speeds
10-15 knots with occasional gusts to around 20 knots. The exceptions
will be KDAG where gusts around 30 knots are likely and winds at
KEED/KIFP will see south winds 25-30 knots. Gusty south to southwest
winds are expected to develop again Saturday afternoon. FEW to SCT
mid and high clouds will filter through the area.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A Red Flag Warning and is in effect from 11AM
Saturday through midnight for Nye, Esmeralda, and portions of
Lincoln and Clark counties. Concerns include RH ranging from 5 to
15% while winds increase to 25 MPH and gusts to around 35 MPH.
Winds will continue into the overnight as humidities begin to
recover by late that night.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Murdock
AVIATION...Gorelow
FIRE WEATHER...Nickerson

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