Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV

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858
FXUS65 KVEF 252119
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
118 PM PST Tue Nov 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Above normal temperatures, dry conditions, and northerly breezes
  in the afternoon will continue across the region through Friday.

* A pattern shift will bring an increase in clouds and wind,
  decrease in temperatures Saturday afternoon through the beginning
  of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Tuesday.

Above normal temperatures and dry conditions will continue through
Friday. A ridge of high pressure will be the main feature through
Thanksgiving with a weak interior shortwave dampening the ridge on
Friday. The only noteworthy item will be northerly winds, down the
Colorado River Valley, particularly each afternoon through Thursday
afternoon. While these winds will remain below wind advisory
criteria (sustained winds in excess of 30 mph or wind gusts in
excess of 40 mph), they will be enough to produce 1.5 to 2 foot
waves on Lake Mohave each afternoon resulting in hazardous boating
conditions for small water craft.

The global ensembles are struggling with many of the details from
the weekend into the start of next week. The pattern will become
more unsettled but outside of the EPS, the GEFS and CMC have trended
more progressive and interior with all of the ensembles struggling
with timing. The most confidence is with regard to lowering
temperatures falling on average 10 degrees by Sunday and remaining a
few degrees below normal through Tuesday. Winds will also increase
across the area, particularly with north winds behind each
shortwave. Far less confidence with regard to precipitation but with
the more interior trajectory favoring the higher terrain of southern
Nevada and northwest Arizona.
&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Winds
will remain light, under 10 knots, and will follow typical, daily
directional patterns through the TAF period. VFR conditions will
persist with FEW-SCT high clouds at times.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Winds across most of the
region remain light and follow typical, daily patterns. The
exception is the lower Colorado River Valley where northerly winds
of 15-30 knots are expected, primarily during the daytime hours. VFR
conditions under mostly clear skies with FEW-SCT high clouds at
times.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Czyzyk
AVIATION...Stessman/Czyzyk


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