368
FXUS65 KVEF 292256 RRA
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
356 PM PDT Tue Jul 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* With a few exceptions, dry conditions along with seasonal
  temperatures will continue into next week for most of the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Monday.

Much of the region will continue to see dry conditions along with
seasonable temperatures into the weekend as dry, southwesterly flow
aloft remains in place.   There continue to be a few exceptions to
this, the first of which is along the Sierra in the northern half of
Inyo County.  Modest moisture in place along the crest, along with
upslope flow this afternoon and evening, will result in a few
isolated thunderstorms developing.  This activity should remain
anchored along the crest, and no storms are expected down in the
Owens Valley.  Similar activity is expected tomorrow afternoon
before drier air moves in for the remainder of the week.   Later in
the week, monsoonal moisture over Arizona will shift a bit further
west.  PWATs over far southern and eastern Mohave County increase to
around .75" by Friday afternoon, leading to a 10 to 20% chance of
afternoon storms.  However, this slight increase in POPs will be
short-lived as the dry southwesterly flow scours out the moisture by
the weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Southerly winds across northern and eastern portions
of Lincoln County will approach Red Flag criteria tomorrow
afternoon.  RH values will fall to around 10% during the afternoon,
but given the marginal winds expected and limited coverage, I have
elected not to issue a Red Flag Warning at this time.  Borderline
conditions will continue into Thursday, but once again, no products
are anticipated at this time.  Modest RH recovery can be expected
overnight, with values increasing to 15 to 20%.  While no products
have been issued, elevated fire conditions will exist, and extreme
caution is advised.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast
Package...Southwest winds with intermittent gusts to 20 knots will
continue through sunset before diminishing.  Similar wind conditions
are expected tomorrow, except the southeast winds seen this morning
are forecast to be more southerly, followed by gusty southwest winds
in the afternoon.  VFR conditions prevail through tomorrow under
mainly clear skies.  Temperatures are expected to exceed 100F
between 20-03Z once again tomorrow.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...South to southwest winds
will continue in most areas into this evening, with occasional gusts
to around 15-20KT.  Exceptions are across the Western Mojave, where
winds will maintain more of a westerly component, with gusts to
around 25KT developing this evening, and in the Owens Valley, where
southeasterly up-valley winds will gust to around 25KT persist into
the early evening, before turning back to the north. Elsewhere,
winds will decrease around sunset and remain less than 12 kntos
overnight. VFR conditions will prevail into Wednesday.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Planz
AVIATION...Planz

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