168
FXUS65 KVEF 261715
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1015 AM PDT Sun Jul 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dangerous temperatures will continue through Monday across the
  Mojave Desert. Hotter than normal temperatures will continue
  through next week.

* Convective activity will be limited to northwestern Arizona
  through next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Saturday.

Widespread Major (Level 3 of 4) to Extreme (Level 4 of 4) HeatRisk
will continue through Monday as temperatures continue to run around
5 to 10 degrees hotter than normal with little to no overnight
relief in places like Las Vegas, Laughlin, Lake Havasu City, and
Death Valley. Temperatures will decrease a few degrees on Tuesday
and Wednesday as the upper-level ridge responsible for the recent
heat shifts off to the east. This ridge will retrograde back to the
west, moving directly overhead later this week. As the ridge moves
back overhead, we will see temperatures take back off as we close
out July and begin August with temperatures 7 to 10 degrees hotter
than normal. As temperatures take back off, we will see widespread
Major HeatRisk across our entire forecast area on Friday, with
widespread Major-to-Extreme HeatRisk over the weekend.

Moisture, driven by outflow winds from storms in Arizona, will
continue to work its way up the Colorado River Valley this morning
and afternoon, spilling into southern Nevada and northwestern
Arizona. This moisture will help to fuel isolated afternoon
convection, with a 15 to 25% chance of precipitation in the higher
terrain of Mohave County and the higher terrain surrounding the
Colorado River Valley. Precipitation chances will decrease on Monday
as moisture decreases. As the ridge shifts back to the east, we will
see a brief period of southeasterly winds aloft, which will result
in a slight uptick in moisture on Tuesday. This slight uptick in
moisture will bring a 15 to 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms
to far eastern Mohave County on Tuesday afternoon. Things will dry
out across the region during the second half of the week as the
ridge begins to retrograde back overhead.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...
Breezy south to southwesterly winds will continue during the
afternoon with gusts around 16 to 22 knots. Wind gusts will drop off
during the evening hours, with winds continuing to maintain a
southwesterly direction through the overnight period. SCT to BKN
clouds at or above 12kft. Temperatures will exceed 100 degrees thru
08z with a high around 111F. Winds will be similar on Monday.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Breezy southerly to
westerly winds this afternoon with 15 to 25 knot wind gusts
expected. Winds will decrease during the evening hours, favoring
typical diurnal directional trends. Isolated convection will be
possible in northwestern Arizona this afternoon and Monday
afternoon. Gusty outflow winds and brief periods of heavy rain
likely with any storms. Otherwise, VFR conditions with sct to
bkn clouds at or above 12kft.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX           SUN, JUL 26  MON, JUL 27  TUE, JUL 28  WED, JUL 29
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     116(1943)    115(2016)    115(2016)    115(1995)
Bishop        108(1975)    108(2016)    108(2016)    107(2016)
Needles       119(2023)    119(2018)    119(2016)    118(2023)
Daggett       114(2018)    115(1995)    117(1995)    116(1995)
Kingman       108(2018)    108(2023)    108(2016)    107(2016)
Desert Rock   110(2018)    110(2018)    112(2016)    110(2016)
Death Valley  127(2018)    127(2018)    126(2016)    127(1995)

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN      SUN, JUL 26  MON, JUL 27  TUE, JUL 28  WED, JUL 29
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     94(2024)*    90(2018)*    91(2018)*    94(2016)
Bishop        69(2022)     70(1951)     71(2004)     67(2006)
Needles       98(2018)     96(2018)     96(2018)     95(2023)
Daggett       85(2024)*    83(2016)*    83(2016)*    84(2016)
Kingman       84(1914)*    81(1914)*    85(1914)     83(1905)
Desert Rock   82(2024)*    83(2024)*    84(2003)     88(1994)
Death Valley  101(1980)*   102(2006)*   101(2018)    101(2016)

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/CLIMATE...Stessman
AVIATION...Czyzyk


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