338
FXUS65 KVEF 300821
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
121 AM PDT Thu Jul 30 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Heat returns to dangerous levels today, likely lasting into next
  week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Wednesday.

Storms "over-performed" today across northeastern areas today, but
monsoon activity drops out of the forecast equation over the next 6-
7 days. During this time, heat will be the main story as
temperatures climb. Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories go
into effect later this morning as heat returns to dangerous levels.
Temperatures are forecast to peak over the weekend, with daily and
month records in jeopardy. Little-to-no overnight recovery is
expected, particularly in the Mojave Desert where lows will be in
the 80-95 degree range. Widespread major to extreme heat risk is
anticipated, and looks to stick around until at least Tuesday.
Should these trends persist, heat headlines will need to be extended
beyond Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast
Package...Southwesterly winds of less than 10 knots become
variable early Thursday morning. Between 16Z and 20Z, variable
winds will generally fall between 140 and 220 degrees with
isolated gusts of around 15 knots. By the early afternoon, winds
favor a more consistent southerly direction, followed by a
southwesterly direction in the mid to late afternoon. Gusts should
weaken after sunset. Temperatures exceed 100 degrees between 17Z
and 05Z.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds generally follow
typical daily directional patterns throughout the TAF period.
Southerly to southwesterly winds pick up in the Las Vegas Valley,
Colorado River Valley, and Owens Valley during the afternoon,
including gusts between 15 and 20 knots. Westerly winds with gusts
up to 25 knots pick up at KDAG in the evening. Expect VFR
conditions with no operationally significant cloud cover.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX           THU, JUL 30  FRI, JUL 31  SAT, AUG 1   SUN, AUG 2
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     114(1978)    115(1978)*   116(1979)*   115(1979)*
Bishop        105(2020)*   109(2000)*   108(2020)*   108(2020)*
Needles       120(2020)    121(2020)    121(1993)*   120(1993)*
Daggett       114(2000)    113(2020)*   115(1995)*   117(1986)
Kingman       110(2020)    112(2020)    106(2020)*   105(1918)*
Desert Rock   109(2000)    109(1996)*   109(1993)*   109(1993)*
Death Valley  127(1995)    125(2020)    127(2017)*   126(1993)

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN      THU, JUL 30  FRI, JUL 31  SAT, AUG 1   SUN, AUG 2
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     89(2019)     88(2020)*    92(2020)     91(2024)*
Bishop        72(2022)     67(2018)     71(2007)     71(2007)
Needles       94(2019)     94(1925)     95(1969)     92(1980)*
Daggett       86(2016)     85(2018)     84(2000)*    83(2018)*
Kingman       83(1972)     83(1914)     82(1914)     82(2008)*
Desert Rock   81(2015)     82(2016)     83(2000)     86(2000)
Death Valley  103(2018)    103(2018)    106(1920)    100(2024)*

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Woods
AVIATION...Meltzer
CLIMATE...Stessman

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