965
FXUS65 KVEF 302200
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
300 PM PDT Wed Jul 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dry conditions, seasonal temperatures, and afternoon breezes
  will continue into next week for most of the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Tuesday.

It should remain dry through early next week as moisture remains
locked in to the south. A shortwave moving into central Nevada
through this evening could trigger isolated showers or
thunderstorms in far northern Inyo and Esmeralda counties, however
impacts could be limited with no moisture or significant instability
to work with. By Thursday afternoon, this wave will lift northeast
into northern Nevada and precipitation chances will remain north of
the area. The rest of the forecast features only weak features and
even drier air  as the flow remains westerly.

Breezy south to southwest winds have developed across the region in
response to the incoming shortwave, with widespread gusts 20-30MPH
reported. On Thursday as the shortwave moves east, continued breezy
winds are expected. Impacts are not expected on Thursday as winds
will be similar or slightly stronger than today but the probability
for gusts over 40 MPH remains 10% or less. Afternoon winds combined
with dry conditions will result in elevated fire weather concerns in
Mohave County Thursday afternoon, but wills should generally remain
under Red Flag conditions. A few higher elevations areas such as the
Hualapai or Mt Trumbull could hit Red flag where winds will be
slightly stronger, but widespread high fire danger is not expected.
Breezy afternoon winds are expected at times through next week, but
Thursday should feature the strongest winds and no impacts are
expected through the period.

With a fairly stagnant weather pattern, temperatures will remain
near normal and will only change a degree or two up or down each day.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast
Package...South to southwest winds at 10-15KT with gusts to around
20KT will continue through the late afternoon before diminishing
after sunset. Gusts will end around 03Z then a brief period of
southwest winds of 8-10KT are expected through the first part of the
night. After  lighter winds persist late tonight and early Thursday
morning, gusty south to southwest winds return Thursday afternoon.
Wind speeds and gusts should be slightly strong than today but will
remain under 30KT. Winds will diminish again after sunset on
Thursday similar to today. VFR conditions with clear skies will
prevail through the period. Temperatures exceeding 100F are expected
until about 03Z, then climbing over 100F again Thursday 20Z-03Z.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Southerly to
southwesterly winds are expected through the forecast period,
gusting 20-25KT through early this evening and then again Thursday
afternoon. Exceptions exist across the western Mojave, including
KDAG, where winds will remain westerly gusting over 25KT at times,
as well as in the Owens Valley, including KBIH, where north to
northwest winds will gusty to 25-30KT until about 03Z this evening.
Winds will gradually diminish through late evening and follow
typical wind patterns overnight through Thursday morning before
gusts return Thursday afternoon. VFR conditions prevailing, though a
stray shower with CIGs to around 10kft cannot be ruled out around
KBIH through 03Z this evening.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Nickerson


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