Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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231
FNUS73 KUNR 221602
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Wright RX...Great Plains Dispatch
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1002 AM MDT Thu May 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 MDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected during the day today,
however showers/storms will move into the region this evening into
Friday morning, increasing CWR over the spot area. Severe storms
are not expected. Isolated showers/storms will be possible the
rest of Friday as well, however more widespread precipitation
moves in for Saturday and Sunday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East to southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......6000 to 6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 20 mph shifting to the southeast 15
                    to 20 mph late in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to around 10 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A
Sky (%).........12  15  21  26  31  44  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  63  64  65  64  63  62
RH..............36  35  35  36  38  41  43
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   10  12  13  14
20 FT wind gust.12  15  17  20  22  17  20
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.5 6.0 5.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   12  15  16  16  12  6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the late evening and overnight.
                    Chance of rain showers after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph shifting to the southeast overnight.
CWR.................40 percent.
Mixing height.......900 to 1400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky (%).........70  75  80  85  86  86  87  86  84  83  81  80
Weather cov.....            LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............61  59  55  52  51  49  48  47  47  46  46  45
RH..............44  49  59  66  68  77  83  86  86  93  89  96
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..14  12  10  10  9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.20  16  15  15  13  12  12  9   9   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 2.8 1.1 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late morning to early afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 to 3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A
Sky (%).........78  78  77  76  69  62  54  55  56  57  62  66
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............46  47  49  52  54  60  58  61  61  61  61  61
RH..............93  93  93  83  80  67  72  70  70  67  70  67
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   6   8   8   9   10  10  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.7   7   9   7   12  12  13  15  15  16  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.7 2.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...AD
Requested by...Hanje Ehrlich
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514521.0/UNR
.DELDT 05/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sdgpc@firenet.gov