Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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032
FNUS73 KUNR 151533
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Sherwood RX...WYNCD
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
833 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A seasonable and mainly dry weekend is in store across
the fire area with light surface winds becoming northwest at 10 to
15 mph during the afternoon today. Minimum RH values will fall to
around 50% under partly cloudy skies. The same will hold true for
Sunday as surface winds become more southeasterly with partly cloudy
skies. Minimum RH values on Sunday will fall into the 45 to 50% range
with increasing cloudiness late in the afternoon. There is an increasing
risk of rainfall (probabilities greater than 50%) after midnight Sunday
night.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 14
                    mph shifting to the northwest late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2500 to 3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    north 5 to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  43  32  21  10  10  11  14  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  46  49  50  51  51  51  49  47
RH..............62  59  56  53  51  50  50  54  56
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.9   10  10  13  14  7   7   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 3.0 2.2 0.8 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  13  14  13  10  7   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the late evening and overnight,
                    then shifting to the southeast after 3 am.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 5
                    to 10 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11  11  14  14  18  27  27  25  29  25  34  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  46  45  44  43  42  42  41  41  40  40  41
RH..............56  58  60  62  62  65  65  67  67  70  70  68
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   10  13  13  12  9   8   7   6   5   5   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast with gusts to around 18 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2200 to 2700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast 15
                    to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  63  57  54  42  30  26  22  18  18  19  19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  41  43  48  51  53  54  55  55  54  52  50
RH..............66  66  67  59  54  50  48  47  47  48  51  53
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   12  14  16  17  18  18  18  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   12  15  18  20  20  20  20  18  18

$$
Forecaster...DH
Requested by...Hanje - GPC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525956.1/UNR
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sdgpc@firenet.gov