209
FNUS73 KUNR 032310
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Cedar Draw...Casper Dispatch
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
510 PM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1701 MDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms will move
through the area this evening. Expect small hail and gusty winds
with thunderstorms over or near the fire.  Winds will be
northerly through most of the night, becoming light and variable
late tonight. Temperatures will be much cooler Friday behind a
cool front. Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected
Saturday as well.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 20 mph
                    becoming variable at 5 to 10 mph late
                    evening and overnight. Gusts up to 25 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
CWR.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......300 to 800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 25 mph shifting to the west
                    around 15 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     84     88     84     88     92
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
CWR.............30     30     30     30     30     30
Temp............84     75     71     69     64     64
RH..............31     54     63     66     75     78
20 ft wind......N 8    E 8    N 9    NW 9   NW 7   W 7
20 ft wind gust.18     16     15     14     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....4900   1900   600    800    500    300
Transport wind..NW 17  N 14   N 15   NW 21  NW 16  W 13

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 18 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................35 percent.
Mixing height.......7000 to 7500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........98     93     86     78     68     58
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............30     30     30     30     30     30
Temp............64     66     69     73     77     77
RH..............78     75     66     55     48     50
20 ft wind......W 7    SW 7   W 8    NW 8   N 9    N 10
20 ft wind gust.10     10     13     13     17     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    2700   5100   6600   5800
Transport wind..W 13   W 12   W 12   NW 13  NW 15  N 15

$$
Forecaster...JC
Requested by...Shannon
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2500000.0/UNR
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wycp@firenet.gov