021
FNUS73 KUNR 221300
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Victoria RX...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
700 AM MDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...There is a slight chance for a rain shower to develop
over the burn area during the early to mid afternoon hours. Light
westerly winds early today will becoming northerly by early afternoon.
Smoke dispersal will be good in the afternoon. Humidity recovery
tonight will be fair. There is a chance for showers on Wednesday,
especially by the afternoon, possibly mixed with snow early. Winds
will become easterly by Wednesday afternoon with good smoke
dispersal.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40 to 50 percent). Slight
                    chance of a rain shower early to mid afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph with gusts to around 10
                    mph shifting to the south-southwest 5 to 10 mph
                    with gusts to around 15 mph late in the morning,
                    then shifting to the north-northeast 5 to 10 mph
                    with gusts to around 15 mph early in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......8600 to 9100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  28  34  39  39  39  38  36  33
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....            RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  52  55  57  58  58  58  58  57
RH..............39  33  30  28  28  29  30  30  30
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   S   S   NE  NE  N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   10  13  15  16  16  15  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 6.3 7.8 8.8 8.3 8.2 9.1 8.1 7.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain and snow showers overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........62-67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 15
                    mph early, becoming light downslope/down valley
                    late this evening and overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  30  30  29  34  38  42  41  40  39  39  39
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  52  49  44  42  40  39  38  38  36  36  35
RH..............31  35  39  47  50  50  50  52  52  59  59  61
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.17  15  13  12  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 3.1 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  13  10  9   10  12  13  12  10  9   8   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow early in the morning, then slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........32-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-northeast winds around 5 mph, then
                    shifting to the east 6 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon.
CWR.................15 percent.
Mixing height.......4000 to 4500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southeast 15 to 20 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  40  42  45  49  54  58  61  64  67  70  72
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............34  35  39  43  46  50  50  53  53  51  52  51
RH..............64  64  57  51  45  37  37  33  35  39  38  41
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   12  14  17  18  21  22  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.1 3.7
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   9   12  14  15  17  18  18  18  17

$$
Forecaster...ST
Requested by...Brandon Sanchez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511204.1/UNR
.DELDT 04/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.roerick@usda.gov,brandon.sanchez@usda.gov