465
FNUS73 KUNR 081811
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Victoria RX...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1111 AM MST Fri Nov 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...UPDATE: Mid and upper level clouds are moving into the
region and are expected to affect the burn site. High confidence
that this cloud cover will persist through this afternoon as a
weather system approaches the region.

Winds will be light today with the wind direction predominately
out of the southeast this morning and shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon. There will be increasing chances for rain through
this evening with better chances for rain after midnight tonight.
Rain will continue overnight into Saturday with accumulations of
up to 0.1".

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy skies as mid-to-upper level clouds
continue to move into the area through this
afternooon.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds will be light (around 5 mph) and generally
out of the southeast in the morning and shifting to
the south to southwest during the afternoon.
Gusts up to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600 to 3100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain in the evening, then rain likely
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts
to around 17 mph.
CWR.................35 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely. Rain
accumulations of up to 0.1".
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 14 mph.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000 to 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

$$
Forecaster...EW
Requested by...Shea Koch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425833.2/UNR
.DELDT 11/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Shea.koch@usda.gov,Thomas.Roerick@usda.gov,Tanner.sprague@usda.gov