Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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810
FNUS73 KUNR 201125
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Schenk Rx...USFS, BLM
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
525 AM MDT Sun Apr 20 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Milder conditions today with a slight chance for
a rain shower late this afternoon and early evening. Winds will
mostly be from the northwest, gusting to around 20 mph this
afternoon, especially on ridge tops. Winds will become mainly
light and terrain driven overnight with good humidity recovery.
Monday will be warmer with increasing southwesterly winds. Clouds
will increase with chances for showers in the afternoon as a cold
front approaches the area. There is a slight chance for a
thunderstorm as well. Tuesday looks dry and slightly cooler, but
potentially breezy behind exiting system.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent) in the morning then
                    becoming partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
                    Slight chance of rain showers after 3 PM.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........24-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-northwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
                    northwest 8 to 14 mph in the afternoon. Gusts
                    to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Mixing height.......7600 to 8100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers before 9 PM.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 15 mph becoming
                    downslope/down valley around 5 mph overnight.
CWR.................5 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph becoming north around
                    10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    a slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........31-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest
                    10 to 16 mph with gusts to around 25 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds possible near
                    any thunderstorms.
CWR.................30 percent.
Mixing height.......10400 to 10900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to west around
                    35 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

$$
Forecaster...ST
Requested by...DW
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510696.2/UNR
.DELDT 04/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.wolf@usda.gov,todd.hoover@usda.gov,tlipp@blm.gov,christopher.bennett@usda.gov