Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FNUS73 KUNR 060034
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Newcastle Fireworks Display...Newcastle Volunteer Fire Department
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
634 PM MDT Sat Jul 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MDT on July 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms are approaching Newcastle
from the west, and should reach Newcastle around 8 or 9 PM. The main
threat with these storms will be strong winds. The strongest storm
is currently well to the north of Newcastle and headed east, so at
this time there is no severe weather headed to Newcastle. However,
there remains the potential for storms to become severe this evening,
and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 9 PM. Most
of the storms should be east of Newcastle by midnight, but there is
still a chance for showers or weak storms to develop overnight.
Sunday looks mainly dry, but there is another chance for showers
and storms in the evening.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms this evening and
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 10 to 12 mph, becoming
                    light and variable after midnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected with any thunderstorms.
Rainfall amount.....0.36 inches.

TIME (MDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  68  68  64  61  57  55  52  50  53  56
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  20
Temp............81  76  72  70  69  67  65  62  60  59  58
RH..............41  45  51  53  57  63  68  75  78  83  87
Heat index (F)..81  76  72  70  69  67  65  62  60  59  58
Wind chill (F)..81  76  72  70  69  67  65  62  60  59  58
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.12  10  10  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.20  20  20  18  18  14  15  13  16  15  14

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max apparent temp...79.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds around 7 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  55  51  47  42  37  32  33  33  34  35  36
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............57  59  61  63  66  69  73  76  78  79  79  80
RH..............90  83  81  72  63  55  48  39  34  30  30  27
Heat index (F)..57  59  61  63  66  69  73  76  78  79  79  79
Wind chill (F)..57  59  61  63  66  69  73  76  78  79  79  79
Surface wnd dir.N   NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
Surface wnd gst.13  12  10  10  12  13  14  14  14  15  14  13

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around 13
                    mph shifting to the southeast around 5 mph with
                    gusts to around 13 mph early in the evening.
Rainfall amount.....0.06 inches.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37  45  53  44  16  27  37  31  25  19  25  30
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............79  78  75  69  67  65  63  62  61  61  60  59
RH..............29  32  40  55  61  68  72  75  78  78  81  83
Heat index (F)..79  78  75  69  67  65  63  62  61  61  60  59
Wind chill (F)..79  78  75  69  67  65  63  62  61  61  60  59
Surface wnd dir.NW  W   S   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.6   5   5   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Surface wnd gst.13  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  10  10  9

$$
Forecaster...KP
Requested by...Lane Zerbst
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2517151.3/UNR
.DELDT 07/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lane.zerbst1505@gmail.com