


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
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633 FXUS63 KUNR 070447 AFDUNR Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY National Weather Service Rapid City SD 1047 PM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry conditions with a warming trend for more much of next week. - Increasing chances for precipitation towards next weekend. && .DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Saturday) Issued at 146 PM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025 Current Water Vapor and upper air models show northwest flow over the FA, with upper ridge situated over the Rockies. Surface analysis depicts high pressure over the Dakotas. Winds are relatively light and variable across the region this afternoon, with clear skies and temperatures in the upper 60s and 70s. Cool conditions continue tonight, with lows expected in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Upper ridge slides eastward over the northern and central planes the remainder of the weekend. This will result in a warming trend through monday, with highs climbing back into widespread 80s by Monday. Daytime mixing will result in breezy southeast winds Sunday afternoon, however gusts will only be in the 20 to 30 mph range. Expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies through middle of next week with dry conditions as ridge dominates the area. Temperatures turn more seasonal and chances for precipitation increase towards the end of next week, as upper low digs into the western CONUS, pushing the upper ridge east of the forecast area. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS Through 06Z Sunday Night) Issued At 944 PM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025 VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. KGCC could see a few hours of gusty winds around 20 kts tonight, with gusts weakening by early Sunday morning. && .UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...None. WY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...Dye AVIATION...Pettett