129
FGUS63 KKRF 211721
ESPUMO

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1720Z Fri Feb 21 2025

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- UPPER MISSOURI FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:BIG HOLE R AT MELROSE MT
MLRM8 (TFX)    5.0   <5%     6.0   <5%     7.5   <5%     8.0   <5%
:BEAVERHEAD R AT TWIN BRIDGES MT
TWNM8 (TFX)    6.0   <5%     7.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%
:JEFFERSON R AT TWIN BRIDGES MT 5N
TWIM8 (TFX)    9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:JEFFERSON R AT THREE FORKS MT 3NW
TFKM8 (TFX)    7.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     8.5   <5%     9.0   <5%
:GALLATIN R AT GALLATIN GTWY MT 7S
GLGM8 (TFX)    5.0   <5%     6.0   <5%     7.0   <5%     7.5   <5%
:GALLATIN R AT LOGAN MT 1W
LOGM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%
:MISSOURI R AT TOSTON MT
TOSM8 (TFX)    8.5   <5%     10.5  <5%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:DEARBORN R AT CRAIG MT 11NW
DBRM8 (TFX)    5.5   <5%     6.5   <5%     8.0   <5%     11.0  <5%
:SMITH R AT ULM MT 8SE
ULLM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     12.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:MISSOURI R AT ULM MT 6E
ULMM8 (TFX)    11.5  <5%     13.5  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:SUN R AT SIMMS MT 1N
SSRM8 (TFX)    6.0   <5%     7.5   <5%     8.5   <5%     10.5  <5%
:MUDDY CR AT VAUGHN MT
MDYM8 (TFX)    11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     25.0  <5%
:SUN R AT VAUGHN MT 3SE
VAUM8 (TFX)    5.0   <5%     6.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%
:MISSOURI R AT FT BENTON MT
FBNM8 (TFX)    12.0  <5%     13.5  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:TETON R AT DUTTON MT 10NE
DTTM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MARIAS R AT SHELBY 6S
SHLM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:MISSOURI R AT LANDUSKY MT 20S
LDKM8 (TFX)    26.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     29.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:MUSSELSHELL R AT HARLOWTON MT 1SW
HLWM8 (BYZ)    5.5   <5%     7.0   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MUSSELSHELL R AT SHAWMUT MT
SHAM8 (BYZ)    6.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MUSSELSHELL R AT LAVINA MT 1S
LVNM8 (BYZ)    7.5   <5%     9.5   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MUSSELSHELL R AT ROUNDUP MT 2SW
RUPM8 (BYZ)    8.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     10.5  <5%     11.0  <5%
:MUSSELSHELL R AT MUSSELSHELL MT
MUSM8 (BYZ)    9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     11.5  <5%     12.0  <5%
:MUSSELSHELL R AT MOSBY MT
MSBM8 (GGW)    8.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$