781
FGUS63 KKRF 211710
ESPUMO

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1709Z Thu Nov 21 2024

Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- UPPER MISSOURI FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:BIG HOLE R AT MELROSE MT
MLRM8 (TFX)    5.0   <5%     6.0   <5%     7.5   <5%     8.0   <5%
:BEAVERHEAD R AT TWIN BRIDGES MT
TWNM8 (TFX)    6.0   <5%     7.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%
:JEFFERSON R AT TWIN BRIDGES MT 5N
TWIM8 (TFX)    9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:JEFFERSON R AT THREE FORKS MT 3NW
TFKM8 (TFX)    7.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     8.5   <5%     9.0   <5%
:GALLATIN R AT GALLATIN GTWY MT 7S
GLGM8 (TFX)    5.0   <5%     6.0   <5%     7.0   <5%     7.5   <5%
:GALLATIN R AT LOGAN MT 1W
LOGM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     11.0  <5%
:MISSOURI R AT TOSTON MT
TOSM8 (TFX)    8.5   <5%     10.5  <5%     11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:DEARBORN R AT CRAIG MT 11NW
DBRM8 (TFX)    5.5   <5%     6.5   <5%     8.0   <5%     11.0  <5%
:SMITH R AT ULM MT 8SE
ULLM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     12.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:MISSOURI R AT ULM MT 6E
ULMM8 (TFX)    11.5  <5%     13.5  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:SUN R AT SIMMS MT 1N
SSRM8 (TFX)    6.0   <5%     7.5   <5%     8.5   <5%     10.5  <5%
:MUDDY CR AT VAUGHN MT
MDYM8 (TFX)    11.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     25.0  <5%
:SUN R AT VAUGHN MT 3SE
VAUM8 (TFX)    5.0   <5%     6.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%
:MISSOURI R AT FT BENTON MT
FBNM8 (TFX)    12.0  <5%     13.5  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:TETON R AT DUTTON MT 10NE
DTTM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MARIAS R AT SHELBY 6S
SHLM8 (TFX)    8.0   <5%     9.0   <5%     13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%
:MISSOURI R AT LANDUSKY MT 20S
LDKM8 (TFX)    26.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     29.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:MUSSELSHELL R AT HARLOWTON MT 1SW
HLWM8 (BYZ)    5.5   <5%     7.0   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MUSSELSHELL R AT SHAWMUT MT
SHAM8 (BYZ)    6.0   <5%     8.0   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MUSSELSHELL R AT LAVINA MT 1S
LVNM8 (BYZ)    7.5   <5%     9.5   <5%     NA    --      NA    --
:MUSSELSHELL R AT ROUNDUP MT 2SW
RUPM8 (BYZ)    8.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     10.5  <5%     11.0  <5%
:MUSSELSHELL R AT MUSSELSHELL MT
MUSM8 (BYZ)    9.0   <5%     11.0  <5%     11.5  <5%     12.0  <5%
:MUSSELSHELL R AT MOSBY MT
MSBM8 (GGW)    8.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%     14.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$