Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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789
FNUS75 KTWC 021214
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Clear Cut...Forest Service
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
514 AM MST Sat Aug 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on August 02.

.DISCUSSION...Still enough moisture for a 30% chance of showers and
thunderstorms at the fire site after 1100 hours. Best chances will be
between 1200 and 1600 hours. These won`t be very strong or long lived
but any shower or thunderstorm will produce gusty and erratic winds.
Otherwise, mainly light winds. Additional drying Sunday with minimum
RH values around 10 percent with no rain chances.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent increasing to 30 percent late in the
                    morning through the afternoon..
Max temperature.....76-79 degrees.
Min humidity........28-31 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds 2 to 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 7 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to to 10200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 knots shifting to the west
                    around 13 knots late in the afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  5   4   1   12  53  53  58  69  62  51  33
Weather cov.....                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  30  30  30  10
Temp............52  58  64  71  73  74  76  74  73  74  73  73
RH..............75  65  54  40  37  33  31  32  32  31  30  30
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   8   8   10  10  11  11  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 2.2 5.4 7.6 8.3 10  9.7 7.9 8.3 8.4 8.6
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   3   4   6   8   8   10  11  11  11  12  13

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent through 1900, then 0 percent.
Min temperature.....50-53 degrees.
Max humidity........42-45 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 4 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 13 knots.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  12  13  10  7   10  11  11  13  7   12  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  70  65  62  60  58  56  55  53  53  52  51
RH..............29  32  38  40  39  41  43  40  41  41  40  40
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.11  10  10  8   8   8   7   7   7   6   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...7.2 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  11  10  10  10  9   8   7   8   7   7   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....77-80 degrees.
Min humidity........9-12 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 11 knots shifting to the west 13
                    to 16 knots in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  5   5   3   3   3   5   8   10  10  9   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  58  64  71  74  75  76  77  77  78  78  77
RH..............38  33  27  20  16  14  13  11  11  10  10  10
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.7   8   10  11  13  14  16  16  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 2.4 4.4 6.0 7.7 8.2 8.7 9.2 8.9 8.5 8.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   11  16  15  14  14  13  13  13  13  13

$$
Forecaster...LADER
Requested by...AZ-SDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518692.4/TWC
.DELDT 08/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessica.alexander@usda.gov,azsdc@firenet.gov,Kyran.Walker@usda.gov,Jordan.SayreHansen@usda.gov

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