303
FNUS75 KTWC 171232
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Flood Fire...Golder Ranch Fire District
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
532 AM MST Thu Oct 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on October 17.

.DISCUSSION...An approaching system will bring breezy winds today
and Friday. Winds will be south to southwest today and tonight.
Expect a wind shift on Friday from southwest winds in the morning
and early afternoon hours, to a west direction in the afternoon
and then northwest winds Friday evening. This system will also
bring a chance of showers and cooler temperatures. Any precipitation
will be light, generally a tenth of an inch (0.10) or less.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....86-89 degrees.
Min humidity........14-17 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light and variable wind becoming south 10 to 15
                    mph by mid to late morning and then becoming
                    south to southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 10800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 knots becoming southwest 20 to
                    24 knots in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........33        22        13        7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............61        77        84        86
RH..............49        29        20        16
20 FT wind......S 4G10    S 11G17   SW 14G21  SW 15G28
Mix hgt (ft)....200       3300      9500      10200
Transport wind..S 9       S 15      S 24      SW 22
Haines index....2         2         2         2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....58-61 degrees.
Max humidity........50-55 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
                    early in the evening, becoming south 10 to
                    15 mph overnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 knots.

TIME (MST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........12        13        11        17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............79        69        64        62
RH..............21        35        47        52
20 FT wind......SW 15G28  SW 14G32  S 11G17   S 10G16
Mix hgt (ft)....6000      100       100       100
Transport wind..SW 18     SW 11     S 11      S 14
Haines index....2         2         2         2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent increasing to 30 percent late in the
                    morning and afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....76-79 degrees.
Min humidity........18-21 percent.
20-foot winds.......South to southwest 10 to 15 mph through mid
                    morning, becoming southwest 20 to 25 mph with
                    gusts around 35 mph from the late morning through
                    early afternoon hours, shifting to the west
                    during the mid afternoon hours and then to the
                    northwest during the early evening.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 9100 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South to southwest 28 to 34 knots, shifting to
                    the west 29 to 31 knots mid to late afternoon.

TIME (MST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........31        31        62        63
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10        10        30        30
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............59        72        77        74
RH..............59        43        38        24
20 FT wind......S 12G20   S 15G24   SW 20G30  W 20G30
Mix hgt (ft)....1300      4600      7700      8400
Transport wind..S 18      SW 26     SW 31     W 33
Haines index....2         2         2         2

$$
Forecaster...ZELL
Requested by...Brandy Labas ICT4 t
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424154.2/TWC
.DELDT 10/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL blabas@grfdaz.gov

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