453
FNUS75 KTWC 251246
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for RX Malay Gap...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
546 AM MST Mon Nov 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0630 MST on November 25.

.DISCUSSION...

Mild with high clouds streaming over the burn site today. Winds today
will be generally light and under 10 mph while becoming westerly in the
late morning. Winds tomorrow will be stronger with gusts up to 20 mph
possible in the afternoon. Minimum relative humidity is expected to rise from
around 22 percent today to around 32 percent tomorrow afternoon with an arrival
of modest moisture into southeastern Arizona.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....56-59 degrees.
Min humidity........22-25 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 mph in the early morning turning to
west 6 to 8 mph after 10 AM. A couple afternoon
gusts to 14 mph possible.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL early in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 knots.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  67  66  66  65  64  64  63  51  44  42  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  36  39  45  50  54  55  56  57  56  54  51
RH..............55  54  49  39  31  25  25  23  23  24  26  29
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   4   4   6   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   8   10  11  12  12  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.1 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.4 3.0 1.5 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   8   10  13  14  15  15  14  12  9
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....35-38 degrees.
Max humidity........57-60 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    north to northwest overnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 knots.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  42  29  27  12  20  30  24  14  23  19  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  43  42  40  39  39  38  38  37  37  37  37
RH..............37  41  43  46  47  49  51  52  54  54  56  57
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....57-60 degrees.
Min humidity........30-33 percent.
20-foot winds.......North 5 mph in the early morning shifting to the
west in the late morning and becoming 8 to 12 mph
with gusts to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 knots increasing to 14 to  19 knots
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  37  21  40  38  37  39  43  45  47  51  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  37  40  47  52  55  57  58  57  56  54  51
RH..............58  57  55  44  37  33  31  31  31  33  35  38
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   6   6   7   9   9   10  11  10  9   7
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  11  13  16  18  19  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 2.7 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 2.8 1.5 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   10  11  15  21  22  23  24  22  19  17
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...EDWARDS
Requested by...Christine Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427276.1/TWC
.DELDT 11/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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